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‘No desire to fight’ Russian people reject Putin’s Ukraine war

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As Putin’s war approaches its seventh month, the Russian people may be finding the “special military operation” harder to bear, according to an expert. Speaking to Express.co.uk, Professor Peter Duncan said that Russia had been “stagnating” even before Putin’s most recent invasion of its neighbour. Prof Duncan is a retired Honorary Associate Professor at University College London who specialises in Russia and Russian nationalism.

Prof Duncan spoke of a “nostalgia” for the Soviet Union due to living conditions inside of the country.

He said: “Increasingly, a majority of Russians – an increasing number, not just a big number – have become nostalgic for the Soviet Union, and that’s largely because, for the last 10 years, Russia has been stagnating.

“That’s because of Putin and [the Russian economy’s] dependence on oil and gas.”

He added that the oil and gas profits go to a small number of individuals and largely do not benefit the Russian people as a whole.

Vladimir Putin.The war in Ukraine is likely decreasing in popularity in Russia. (Image: GETTY)

A Russian man.Some Russians are ‘nostalgic’ for the Soviet Union. (Image: GETTY)

However, even though there exists a desire for the days of the Soviet Union, it doesn’t mean the public is supportive of the invasion of Ukraine – particularly among those who might be called up to fight.

Prof Duncan said: “There is no desire whatsoever among Russians to go and fight in Ukraine. Even [among] people who sincerely believe, as Putin believes, that Ukraine and Russia are one people – they’re not.”

Due to this “vague nostalgia” Putin may be able to convince some Russians that he is gaining the world’s respect, however this feeling is likely diminished by the economic hit Russia is taking due to Western sanctions, according to Prof Duncan.

He added: “Insofar as Putin can persuade people that he’s making people respect Russia more, that’s good [for Putin]. Insofar as they’re having sanctions imposed on them, prices are going up and worst of all they’re having to fight in Ukraine [that’s bad for Putin].

READ MORE: Should Meghan and Harry lose their titles? Here’s how YOU voted

A sign saying 'sanction Russia'.Sanctions and an overreliance on energy have caused the Russian economy to ‘stagnate’. (Image: GETTY)

Putin and Generals.Putin and his generals are reportedly struggling to find people to fight in Ukraine. (Image: GETTY)

“Even if someone can steal fridges and computers while they’re in Ukraine, that’s nothing compared to losing people’s lives.”

The news comes as Moscow appears to be struggling to replace soldiers in Ukraine where the fighting has turned into a battle of attrition on several fronts.

Sources have reported that the military fighting age limit has been scrapped in Russia and there are plans to begin commuting prisoners’ sentences in exchange for service in the Russian military.

The Washington-based think tank the Institute for the Study of War cited a CNN report from two anonymous US Officials who stated that Russia is facing a “severe” shortage of military personnel.

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People waiting at a Russian currency exchange.The Russian economy has taken a hit due to the war in Ukraine. (Image: GETTY)

The ISW said: “The report amplified one unidentified official’s claims that the Russian MoD is attempting to recruit contract service members to compensate for personnel losses by ‘compelling wounded soldiers to re-enter combat, acquiring personnel from private security companies, and paying bonuses to conscripts’.

“The officials also noted that the US has ‘credible reporting’ that Russia’s MoD is ‘likely to begin’ recruiting convicted criminals in Ukraine ‘in exchange for pardons and financial compensation’.”

The Kremlin has also deployed so-called “volunteer” units from various oblasts and regions within Russia. There have been pictures of men who appear to be in their fifties preparing to fight in these units.

If Moscow continues to fail to replace its soldiers, Putin may be faced with the tough choice of admitting the “special military operation” is a real war and fully mobilising Russian forces – a move which could prove to be deeply unpopular among the Russian population.

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Why the ‘BYU for Orthodox Jews’ is asking the Supreme Court for help

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The Supreme Court is once again weighing how to balance religious freedom and LGBTQ rights in a case that could hold ramifications for faith-based schools across the country.

The case, Yeshiva University v. YU Pride Alliance, pits Orthodox Jewish leaders against students seeking official recognition for a gay rights club. Yeshiva, which is in New York City, has asked the Supreme Court to intervene after a lower court said it must recognize the Pride Alliance club as the lawsuit plays out.

“It is a highly unusual situation,” said Eric Baxter, vice president and senior counsel for the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty, the law firm that represents Yeshiva. “I’m not aware of any other case where a religious school like this has been told what to do on its own campus.”

What’s the background of the Yeshiva University gay rights case?

Yeshiva’s legal battle began in April 2021, when a group of students filed a lawsuit challenging the school’s refusal to recognize YU Pride Alliance. They said Yeshiva leaders were violating a policy called the New York City Human Rights Law, which outlaws discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity.

“YU’s refusal to recognize the YU Pride Alliance sends a stark and painful message of rejection and non-belonging to its LGBTQ students and their allies. … An official LGBTQ student club is not only Plaintiffs’ right as students, it is necessary to their health and well-being on campus,” the lawsuit said.

School leaders responded by arguing that Yeshiva qualified for the policy’s religious exemption. In general, the government can’t forced a faith-based university to change its stance on LGBTQ rights, they said.

“Yeshiva, in consultation with its senior rabbis, concluded that the club would be inconsistent with the religious environment it seeks to maintain on campus,” Baxter said.

What’s it like at Yeshiva University?

As part of their defense, Yeshiva’s leaders have outlined the many religious aspects of campus life. The school’s application to the Supreme Court notes that students and faculty members are expected to live according to “Torah values” and that religious studies is a core part of the curriculum.

Although students can earn secular degrees, they also receive extensive religious training and have an assigned spiritual adviser, Baxter said. Class schedules respect the Sabbath and campus dining areas are kosher compliant.

“Yeshiva University … is like the BYU for Orthodox Jews. But even more intense,” he said.

The Supreme Court application says that school leaders have said no to student clubs focused on hobbies like shooting and gambling due to faith-related concerns.

“It also declined to approve a Yeshiva chapter of the Jewish “AEPi” fraternity, because it concluded that certain aspects of traditional fraternity life would be inconsistent with Yeshiva’s Torah values,” the application said.

What happened in the lower courts?

The trial court judge recognized that Yeshiva has many religious aspects, but said that it doesn’t qualify for an exemption under New York City’s human rights law.

The policy’s religious freedom protections were meant for institutions that don’t offer so many secular degrees, the judge said.

The school has appealed that decision, as well as an order stating that Yeshiva officials must formally recognize YU Pride Alliance as the lawsuit plays out. The Supreme Court application, filed Monday, specifically asks the court to overturn that order.

“The question is whether it has to immediately recognize” this student group, Baxter said.

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Yeshiva University students Aaron Heideman, left, and Marc Shapiro study in the university’s library in New York on Thursday, Dec. 12, 2019.

Why does the Yeshiva lawsuit matter?

Yeshiva is arguing that the lower court decision puts faith-based schools across the country at risk. The Supreme Court has repeatedly said that religious freedom protections don’t end when a school starts offering some secular degrees, Baxter said.

“It’s really an absurd decision to say an organization as intensely religious as Yeshiva is not religious. It shows that something has clearly gone wrong,” he said.

Meanwhile, the students’ supporters argue that school officials are overreacting, and that Yeshiva can accept the Pride Alliance club without adopting new policies on LGBTQ rights.

“In framing this as a religious emergency that has to be stopped, to me, (Yeshiva is) demonstrating the very homophobia that they claim doesn’t exist on campus,” said Rachael Fried, executive director of JQY (Jewish Queer Youth), a nonprofit that supports Orthodox Jewish queer youth, to Religion News Service.

What will happen next?

The students’ response brief to the Supreme Court was due Friday afternoon, so the court should soon issue its decision on Yeshiva’s request for help.

Regardless of whether or not the Supreme Court intervenes, the school’s appeal of the original ruling will continue working its way through the New York legal system this fall, Baxter said.

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The News And Times

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M.N.: Mr. Biden’s tweets read like a political poem. This is very true: “There is nothing America can’t do if we do it together.The National Unity is the function, among other things, of the political art and acumen; and Mr. Biden is the master politician.  Trump and Trumpism are the temporary aberration for America, they have to be studied, analyzed, and understood. They have to be explained to the people clearly and adequately. “Semi-Fascism” is an excellent term to describe them, the MAGA movement, and the “Magats”. The lower middle class and the working class in America go through profound social, economic, and the psychological changes, and like earlier in history, e.g. in pre-Fascist Germany, this situation is exploited, now by Trumpistas. The Democratic legislative agenda is addressing these changes and attempts to mitigate their effects. However, more is needed: the roots of the emotionally intense rage in those truly disaffected and stressed out Trump supporters in the January 6 Rebellion have to be understood on the emotional level, and these roots have to be addressed also. The other part of the Capitol rioters, the instigators and the organizers who were paid with the bitcoin transfers and other means, with the possible ties to the Mob and the Foreign Intelligence Services, has to be dealt with differently. These were  the criminal acts, and they should be viewed and dealt with accordingly. The third, mixed group with the real life elements of both, is more complex but still falls under these general considerations. The FBI has to play its own role in enhancing the stability and the unity of the country, and it appears to be larger than simply the law enforcement and quality policing roles. The FBI should look beyond the low hanging fruits and the easy mechanical enforcement solutions. It should develop the correct, evidence based, broad conceptual understanding of the social processes, and it should look for the pro-active, preventive approaches and strategies. It is easy to give the advices, much more difficult to establish the efficient, adequately functioning domestic security service in practice. But it can be done. First, diagnose the problems objectively, without “fear or favor”, clarify the mission and objectives, and then draw the strategic map of the required changes and reforms. 
Michael Novakhov (Mike Nova), blogger8:36 AM 9/2/2022

__________________________


President Biden – @POTUS on Twitter: 

Join me as I deliver remarks on the continued battle for the soul of the nation. 

While the threat to America is real, we are not powerless in the face of these threats.

There are far more Americans of every background and belief who reject the extreme MAGA ideology than those who accept it. 

There is nothing America can’t do if we do it together.

You can’t be pro-insurrection and pro-America. 

For a long time, we’ve reassured ourselves that American democracy is guaranteed. But it is not.

We have to defend it.

Protect it.
Stand up for it.

That’s why tonight, I am asking the nation to come together and unite behind this single purpose – of saving our democracy.

America must choose.

To be a nation of hope and unity and optimism? Or a nation of fear and division and of darkness.

If we all do our duty, in 2022 and beyond, then ages still to come will say that we kept the faith.

We preserved our democracy.

And we proved that for all its imperfections, America is still the beacon to the world. 

It’s never easy.

But we are proving that in America no matter how long the road, progress does come.

You can’t love your country only when you win politically.

democracy

America has often made its greatest progress after coming out of our darkest hours.

________________

Michael Novakhov’s favorite articles 

America has often made its greatest progress after coming out of our darkest hours.

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You can’t love your country only when you win politically.
It’s never easy.

But we are proving that in America no matter how long the road, progress does come.

If we all do our duty, in 2022 and beyond, then ages still to come will say that we kept the faith.We preserved our democracy.

And we proved that for all its imperfections, America is still the beacon to the world.

America must choose.

To be a nation of hope and unity and optimism? Or a nation of fear and division and of darkness.

For a long time, we’ve reassured ourselves that American democracy is guaranteed. But it is not.We have to defend it.Protect it.Stand up for it.

That’s why tonight, I am asking the nation to come together and unite behind this single purpose – of saving our democracy.

You can’t be pro-insurrection and pro-America.
There is nothing America can’t do if we do it together.
While the threat to America is real, we are not powerless in the face of these threats.

There are far more Americans of every background and belief who reject the extreme MAGA ideology than those who accept it.

Join me as I deliver remarks on the continued battle for the soul of the nation. twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…
Президент РФ Владимир Путин во время поездки на Дальний Восток посетит активную фазу стратегических командно-штабных учений (СКШУ) «Восток-2022». Об этом журналистам сообщил в пятницу пресс-секретарь главы государства Дмитрий Песков.

«6 сентября он (Путин — прим. ТАСС) будет работать в

123593 Новости

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Представители Свободной демократической партии Германии (СвДП) требуют демонтировать “Северный поток — 2”, сообщило 2 сентября…

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1047142 Каспаров.Ru

The post Каспаров.Ru: Свободная демократическая партия Германия требует демонтировать “Северный поток-2” first appeared on The Russia News.

The physical integrity of the nuclear power plant has been “violated,” the IAEA chief has said. Gunfire and shelling in its vicinity have not stopped during the visit. Follow DW for the latest.

1186296 Deutsche Welle: DW.com – Europe

6841512 Deutsche Welle from Michael_Novakhov (6 sites)

The post Deutsche Welle from Michael_Novakhov (6 sites): Deutsche Welle: DW.com – Europe: Russia-Ukraine updates: IAEA to stay at Zaporizhzhia amid clashes first appeared on The Russia News.

Yevgeny Prigozhin, a close associate of Russian President Vladimir Putin, has reportedly recruited almost 1,000 inmates from two penal colonies in the southwestern Rostov region, promising them early release if they fight in Moscow’s war against Ukraine.

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275289 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty

The post Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty: Putin Associate Prigozhin Reportedly Recruiting Hundreds Of Inmates To Fight In Ukraine first appeared on The Russia News.

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Judge Dismisses Carter Page Lawsuit Against FBI Despite ‘Deeply Troubling’ Surveillance

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A federal judge has dismissed a lawsuit brought by Carter Page, a former associate of President Donald Trump, over the FBI’s controversial surveillance of him as part of its investigation into the Trump campaign.

U.S. District Judge Dabney Friedrich issued the ruling on Thursday stating that Page, who was an informal presidential campaign adviser to Trump in 2016, cannot sue the FBI or other former officials involved in the $75 million lawsuit (pdf).

Page filed the suit in 2020 against the FBI, the Justice Department, and multiple former FBI officials for damages stemming from what he called the “unlawful spying” against him over the now disproven allegations that the Trump campaign was colluding with Russia.

In the lawsuit, Page accused the federal agencies and ex-officials of violating his constitutional rights and other legal rights by unlawfully surveilling him, noting that the “defendants’ unjustified and illegal actions (including violations of federal criminal law)” had “violated federal statutes enacted to prevent unlawful spying on United States persons, as well as the Constitution.”

Defendants listed in the lawsuit included former FBI director James Comey, former Acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe, former top counterintelligence official Peter Strzok, and former FBI lawyer Kevin Clinesmith.

Clinesmith pleaded guilty in 2020 to doctoring an email from the CIA to make it appear as if Page was not an agency asset, without disclosing that Page was an approved operational contact for the CIA who reported on his interactions with Russian intelligence officers.

The email was used to obtain spy warrants to surveil Page.

Friedrich noted that the “FBI’s conduct in preparing the FISA warrant applications to electronically surveil Page was deeply troubling” and that the government itself has “conceded that it lacked probable cause for two of the warrants.”

‘No Actionable Claim’

However, Friedrich, a Trump appointee, ruled that the lawsuit be thrown out because Page had “brought no actionable claim against any individual defendant or against the United States.”

“In part, that is because Page faces at least three statutory roadblocks. First, Congress has not created a private right of action against those who prepare false or misleading FISA applications,” the judge wrote, noting that “both the plain language and the structure of FISA make clear that civil liability under 50 U.S.C. § 1810 attaches only to those who conduct or perform electronic surveillance.”

Secondly, the judge noted that Congress has “not provided for damages claims against federal officers for constitutional violations stemming from unlawful electronic surveillance in the national security context,” and thirdly, “Congress has not waived the United States’s sovereign immunity for this kind of claim.”

The FBI obtained warrants under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) to electronically surveil Page as part of its investigation into the alleged connection between the Trump campaign and the Russian government. At the time, the FISA warrant application described Page as an agent of Russia, although he was not charged with any crime.

Yet the process of securing the warrants was heavily flawed and inspectors relied in part on the dossier of political opposition research on then-candidate Trump, which was written by former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele.

The research in the dossier, which had been widely discredited, was paid for by the Hillary Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee.

A number of the warrants were later declared invalid while officials admitted the spying shouldn’t have been carried out. FBI Director Christopher Wray has since apologized to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) for the way it conducted the surveillance of Page.

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Detailed list of property seized in Trump FBI search released

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By Nicole Sganga, Robert Legare, Melissa Quinn

Updated on: September 2, 2022 / 11:09 AM / CBS News

West Palm Beach, Florida — The detailed list of the property seized during the FBI’s search at former President Donald Trump’s South Florida residence last month has been released, a day after U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon ordered its release.

The Department of Justice told the court that investigators have already looked at the seized records and said the criminal investigation is ongoing and active.

Federal prosecutors initially submitted the detailed property receipt to the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida on Tuesday that was filed under seal. The Justice Department had told the court that it was prepared to release the receipt to the public given the “extraordinary circumstances” of the case and provide it “immediately” to Trump. 

Trump’s legal team said it did not oppose unsealing the detailed inventory, though it remained sealed until Friday morning.

The inventory lists 33 items, boxes or containers that the FBI seized during the execution of the search warrant at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence on Aug. 8. 

Though not specific, the newly released receipt of collected items lists multiple government documents and photographs with classified markings – including secret and top secret — and multiple empty folders, also with classification markings. 

The sensitive documents and government property are listed in a way that indicated they were in containers mixed with more personal items, like magazines, newspapers, gifts and articles of clothing. The Justice Department is investigating whether Trump mishandled classified materials after leaving the White House. 

“Evidence of commingling personal effects with documents bearing classification markings is relevant evidence of the statutory offenses under investigation,” prosecutors wrote in a court filing earlier this week. 

Last month, a more generalized version of the list, along with a redacted warrant used to justify the search, was released. That inventory revealed that the FBI seized multiple sets of documents containing material marked as classified, including four sets that contained documents marked “top secret,” in the Aug. 8 search at Mar-a-Lago, Trump’s estate.

Here is the detailed list released by the court:

First published on September 2, 2022 / 11:05 AM

© 2022 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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Banker at Center of Puerto Rico Corruption Scandal Denies Guilt

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The Venezuelan financier in the middle of a Puerto Rican bribery scandal that led to the indictment of the island’s former governor has declared himself not guilty to a laundry list of federal corruption charges. 

Julio Martin Herrera Velutini, the founder of Bancredito International Bank & Trust Corp., appeared before a judge in San Juan Wednesday. He was subsequently released on a $1 million bond and will await trial at his home in New York. 

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FBI agents monitor social media. As domestic threats rise, the question is who they’re watching

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play
Biden forcefully defends FBI after threats
President Joe Biden forcefully defends the FBI as the agency and its employees have come under withering criticism and threats of violence since executing a search warrant at former President Donald Trump’s Florida residence earlier this month. (Aug. 30)

On Aug. 11, Adam Bies logged into his account on Gab and started typing: 

“I sincerely believe that if you work for the FBI, then you deserve to DIE.”

Bies, 46, was an aspiring freelance photographer who had filled his website with action photos of fast cars and outdoor sports. He had been fired from his day job in marketing for refusing the COVID-19 vaccine, he wrote online, and had struggled in his efforts to file an unemployment claim. 

As federal prosecutors would later describe in court filings, Bies was filling his days posting under a pseudonym on Gab, a social media service popular with right-wing extremists. 

His post included a link to a Fox News story about FBI Director Christopher Wray decrying the wave of violent threats directed at the agency in the three days since the search of former President Donald Trump’s home and club Mar-a-Lago. He compared federal agents to Nazi forces. He fumed about “police state scum.” And he composed what might have been seen as a final plan.

“I already know I’m going to die at the hands of these … law enforcement scumbags,” he wrote, interspersed with profanity. “My only goal is to kill more of them before I drop.” 

Four days later, warrant in hand, armed federal agents and SWAT teams surrounded Bies’ home, near a tumbling waterfall in the deep-forest hunting country of western Pennsylvania. Inside the house were Bies and his 12-year-old son. It was dark, near midnight.

Officers called Bies on his cellphone, over and over, 16 times in all. They issued orders  through a loudspeaker to surrender. 

Finally, Bies emerged, carrying an assault rifle. Officers ordered him to put down the weapon.

In those four days between Bies’ threatening posts and the moment he faced off with armed agents, he had been snared by a complex, little-known practice within the FBI called social media exploitation, or SOMEX – one that might, at this moment, be monitoring the online activities of anyone in America.

Top FBI leaders have sought to downplay the extent to which agents can legally monitor public online activities of people who aren’t under investigation. But in reality, the bureau can conduct almost unlimited monitoring of public-facing social media, as long as it’s doing so for law-enforcement purposes, FBI officials told USA TODAY. 

Experts say that gives the FBI more power than it has been willing to acknowledge publicly – power the bureau and other security experts say they have a responsibility to use to prevent terrorism.

But critics say social media exploitation also means agents are allowed to review online posts at will, with no oversight, yet vast enforcement authorities.

“FBI officials have put out a lot of misinformation about the scope of their authorities,” said Michael German, a former FBI special agent and a fellow with New York University’s Brennan Center for Justice. “The FBI has tremendous powers to investigate long before there’s a reasonable criminal predicate.”

For subscribers: ‘Kill FBI on sight’: Truth Social reveals the final days of the Cincinnati attacker

SOMEX involves agents who develop their own leads and receive information from a network of contractors and collaborators, such as the terrorism research group that first flagged the posts by Bies.  

But the bureau has been criticized for how its investigators have reacted – as in the case of online posts made by liberal activists during the Black Lives Matter protests of 2020 – and how they failed to react – as in the right-wing buildup to the Jan. 6 insurrection. 

The FBI has long been under scrutiny for overreach in creating files on public figures and others, even if they were not under criminal investigation. Some experts say the agency has a history of focusing on left-leaning groups like environmentalists and racial justice activists while ignoring threats from white supremacists and others on the right. They say this tendency carries over into the digital era. 

And internal records obtained by one advocacy group appear to show agents in cyber-research specifically focusing on anti-police and racial justice rallies instead of armed counterprotesters or white supremacists. 

“The problem with social media surveillance is often the problem with policing at large, which is that police cannot predict crime; all they can do is make an assessment of what type of person is most likely to commit crime, and put that group under surveillance,” said Matthew Guariglia, a policy analyst at the Electronic Frontier Foundation. That “knee-jerk reaction,” Guariglia said, ends up meaning more surveillance and harassment of people of color and marginalized groups. 

But as outrage over Mar-a-Lago now spurs threats from right-leaning extremists to historic levels, longstanding questions about how the FBI really monitors Americans online encounter a new twist: What happens when the people being threatened are the FBI agents themselves?

FBI has wider latitude than many realize 

In June of last year, in a hearing of the House Committee on Oversight and Reform, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York grilled Wray about the FBI’s failure to foresee the chaos of the Jan. 6 insurrection. 

“We now know that the attacks were planned out in the open on popular social media platforms,” Ocasio-Cortez said. “Does the FBI regularly include social media monitoring as part of its efforts to combat violent extremism?”

Wray’s response was emphatic:

“We have very specific policies that have been at the department for a long time that govern our ability to use social media. And when we have an authorized purpose and proper predication, there’s a lot of things we can do on social media,” he said. “But what we can’t do on social media is, without proper predication and an authorized purpose, just monitor.”

Months earlier, the FBI’s former executive assistant director for national security, Jill Sanborn, gave a similar explanation to the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. “We cannot collect First Amendment-protected activities without sort of the next step, which is the intent,” she said.

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz., followed up, asking, “So the FBI does not monitor publicly available social media conversations?”

“Correct, ma’am. It’s not within our authorities,” Sanborn replied.

The FBI’s own rules say otherwise.

FBI officials told USA TODAY that Wray’s statement was correct, while acknowledging that an “authorized purpose” means simply doing anything in line with the duties of an FBI agent. 

That “authorized purpose” is actually extraordinarily broad. Policy would forbid agents from looking at social media to, for example, keep tabs on a romantic partner or monitor for some other non-law enforcement use. But it would allow an agent to look at essentially anything online, proactively, if the intent was to stop a crime or to keep Americans safe. An FBI official called this falling within the “penumbra of national security, enforcement of federal law, or foreign intelligence.”

German, a fellow with the Brennan Center’s Liberty and National Security Program, argued in a recent report that individual FBI agents have extraordinary leeway to look through public-facing social media posts without seeking authorization from their superiors in advance or even keeping an official record of their actions.

The FBI rules, laid out in the agency handbook and the periodically updated attorney general’s guidelines, allow agents to conduct “pre-assessments” of possible threats, German said. Those pre-assessments can be conducted “without any factual basis to suspect wrongdoing,” German writes in his report. 

He and several other experts agree the FBI certainly can, then, proactively monitor Americans’ social media for signs of unrest, dissent or violence that might lead to criminal activity. 

FBI officials told USA TODAY this is correct. There’s no need for “proper predication,” or evidence of a crime, when conducting a pre-assessment of a subject.

German’s analysis of the rules was echoed by Brian Murphy, a former top FBI official who helped pioneer the bureau’s social media exploitation efforts.

He cited Sanborn’s statements, telling USA TODAY, “I just think that she was wrong.” He said the agency has a risk-averse culture that prevents agents and managers from taking the steps necessary to fully protect Americans.

Sanborn, who is no longer at the FBI, did not respond to messages seeking comment. An FBI spokesperson said Sanborn’s comments referred specifically to “conversations” on social media and not to public-facing posts by individuals.

While the bureau describes its authorities carefully, its agents – and third-party contractors – can track critics of the government like Adam Bies, watching until their online rantings cross a line into outright threats. 

Then the FBI can act.

What SOMEX really looks for 

The FBI’s SOMEX team, which sits within the agency’s National Threat Operations Center in Clarksburg, West Virginia, receives and investigates tips on imminent social media threats from concerned citizens, other law enforcement agencies, independent monitoring organizations and others.

But the effort involves more than just acting as a catcher’s mitt for incoming tips. It also develops its own social media intelligence.

Documents obtained by the open-government group Property of the People (and first reported by Rolling Stone) give insight into the broader social media monitoring role SOMEX plays inside the FBI. The documents detail reports from the team to federal and local law enforcement in the Seattle area during the civil unrest that unfolded in the wake of the murder of George Floyd.

“While overnight social media activity was very light, the SOMEX team did find some tweeting by individuals stating they would monitor police radio activity,” reads a typical extract from the documents, taken from a June 2, 2020, situation report emailed to dozens of FBI agents.

“The FBI aggressively scours social media for information related to topics of Bureau interest,” said Ryan Shapiro, executive director and co-founder of the nonprofit group, which provided USA TODAY with hundreds of pages of documents about the FBI’s social media monitoring that it acquired through open records requests. “This routinely includes surveillance of Americans who are not the subject of an investigation or even suspected of committing a crime.”

In a statement, the FBI said that SOMEX was created to assist in identifying “unknown subject, victim, or location information” when there’s a threat to life by using publicly available information. The team then forwards information to the appropriate agency for further investigation and appropriate action.

FBI officials told USA TODAY that agents are not allowed to use specific SOMEX tools without additional training in privacy and civil liberties protections. Those tools include commercial software the FBI purchases to use in-house. The FBI also works with third-party contractors for social media analysis, the officials said.

One contractor is the private intelligence firm the Hetherington Group, which has trained law enforcement and the military on conducting online investigations.

Cynthia Hetherington, the firm’s founder and president, said the company identifies “actionable intelligence” that can be used to protect life or someone’s reputation by helping those it trains learn how to hyperfocus and efficiently identify a key collection of terms that demonstrate legitimate threats, such as “kill,” “die,” “shoot,” “fire,” “bomb,” “rob.”

“Individuals should be allowed to say what they want to say on the internet, but should also understand that it’s open source and the parties concerned will trace it back” to them, Hetherington said.

Another way of saying that, said Shapiro, who holds a doctorate from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology focusing on government surveillance, is that the FBI can, and is, monitoring practically whoever it wants, whenever it wants.

“The FBI is almost entirely unhindered in its ability to monitor American social media postings,” Shapiro said, “so when the FBI reported to Congress that it was unable to do so – I mean, that is a bald-faced lie. That’s what the bureau does. They lie.”

As the FBI becomes more interested in specific posts, the bureau can ramp up its monitoring in more “intrusive” ways, FBI officials said. With additional internal approvals, FBI agents can access not just public-facing social media but also private groups and chat rooms.

Even when accessing this more private information, the FBI’s internal checks don’t protect Americans’ civil liberties, several experts told USA TODAY. 

The FBI has a long and troubled history of focusing on groups on the left of the political spectrum while largely turning a blind eye to domestic extremists on the far-right, said Guariglia, who holds a doctorate in the history of police surveillance.

“Both historically speaking and in current events, we’ve seen the amount of surveillance that has been marshaled specifically against groups fighting for racial justice increased exponentially than from what we’ve seen being monitored on the right,” Guariglia said. 

The FBI pushed back on this assessment. “The FBI aggressively investigates threats posed by domestic violent extremists,” a bureau spokesperson wrote in a statement. “We do not investigate ideology, and we do not investigate particular cases based on the political views of the individuals involved.”

Are there enough resources to do the work?

The FBI isn’t the only law enforcement agency doing social media exploitation.

The bureau’s SOMEX effort is part of a constellation of social media analysis that has occurred across the national security apparatus over the few years. The Department of Homeland Security has its own SOMEX team plus social media analysts at dozens of “fusion centers” across the U.S. sharing intelligence with local, state and federal law enforcement, said Mike Sena, executive director of one of those fusion centers, the Northern California Regional Intelligence Center.

The FBI also works to train and assist local police departments in their social media exploitation efforts, a tactic that came to light earlier this year in a report by the Intercept, which detailed how the bureau provided the Chicago Police Department with fake social media accounts to investigate demonstrators outraged at the Floyd murder by police officers in 2020.   

The San Bernardino, California, terrorist attack in 2015 turned out to be a “proof of concept” on the efficacy of social media analysis, Hetherington said, when reporting from Facebook to a fusion center social media analyst helped the FBI quickly identify the people involved. 

But using social media analysis to identify future crimes, rather than research past ones, is a broader net. That federal effort to prevent crimes is still small given the scale of the internet, Sena said.

“Most people would be shocked in America,” Sena said. “There’s a small number of folks trying to deal with these threats that are huge.”

Sena and Hetherington told USA TODAY that after the ACLU of California publicized law enforcement’s use of commercial software to “monitor activists and protesters” in 2016, many companies stopped selling their software to law enforcement or minimized their capacity to use it to track online activity.

As a result, Sena said, “our people are manually doing things. They’re doing the work, but they’re having to work 10 times as hard as they used to.”

That’s why agencies plan to bring their teams together, at least virtually, to break up siloes and avoid duplication, Sena said. One byproduct of this effort, he said, will be fewer blind spots or gaps that can be used to accuse law enforcement of bias.

“Even if you’re being proactive, it’s basically walking with a teaspoon at a river and trying to put that in a bucket,” Sena said. “We’re not getting everything, but it’s better than nothing.” 

But German of the Brennan Center argues in his report that the majority of social media exploitation work is actually counterproductive. The sheer volume of tips generated by contractors and the FBI’s own analysts results in an “information overload,” German writes.

“Obviously, the multiple forms of social media monitoring that the FBI and other law enforcement agencies conducted prior to January 6 was not helpful in preparing for the attack,” the report states. “Yet after the Capitol insurrection, the FBI invested an additional $27 million into social media monitoring software, effectively doubling down on a failed methodology.”

Ongoing investment in social media exploitation

Those efforts continue even in the weeks since the Mar-a-Lago search and backlash.

Three days after the FBI executed its Aug. 8 search warrant on Mar-a-Lago and was inundated by right-wing threats, Ricky Shiffer, a 42-year-old Navy veteran, walked into the FBI office in Cincinnati armed with a nail gun and an AR-15 rifle. 

As USA TODAY reported, Shiffer had spent the last nine days of his life ranting on Truth Social, the social media company founded by Trump. His hundreds of posts included explicit threats against the federal government, including “Kill F.B.I. on sight.”

When his attack failed, Shiffer fled north along rural highways and into a standoff where he was ultimately shot and killed.

The FBI said in a statement that it had been informed of Shiffer but “the information did not contain a specific and credible threat.”

Wray told the agency in a message the day after that attack that the FBI’s security division would be adjusting its “security posture accordingly.” 

A $32,400 contract approved Monday – after discussion that started weeks before the search of Mar-a-Lago, Hetherington said – notes that the agency will hire the Hetherington Group to train its agents on SOMEX later this month.

According to a document the bureau filed to justify making the purchase without opening it up to bidding, “it is an immediate need to expand and broaden the social media knowledge.” The FBI wrote that the training can provide it with expertise in the “forces and factors that lead to the radicalization of terrorism specifically white supremacy extremism.”

That document was filed Aug. 11, the same day Shiffer carried a nail gun into an FBI office and then fled into the Ohio cornfields.

It was also the same day Adam Bies was logging post after post on Gab.  

‘Why don’t you send them my threats’

As Bies tapped out his messages, he wasn’t just speaking to his 1,600 followers. According to court documents, he also deliberately tagged Gab founder Andrew Torba in his posts, goading him to report Bies to the federal government.

“Why don’t you send them my threats so that they’d at least have something credible to show on Fox News,” Bies wrote in the post. “Just scrub my timeline for the posts you didn’t delete after you threatened to ban me.”

Also watching Bies’ posts was a third-party media monitoring and analysis firm, the Middle East Media Research Institute. MEMRI cut its teeth monitoring Middle Eastern media for English-speaking audiences but over the past three years has expanded to real-time social media monitoring, specifically for threats from white supremacists and other homegrown extremists.

“We’re consistently in communication with (law enforcement and government) agencies at the local, state and national level, and providing” them with actionable intelligence, said Simon Purdue, director of MEMRI’s Domestic Terror Threat Monitor team. “Having people like us helps speed things along.”

MEMRI alerted the FBI, according to a later criminal complaint. The FBI contacted Gab, which handed over Bies’ subscriber information and Internet Protocol logs for his computer connection. Soon, agents were outside his Mercer County home.

After a 30 or 40 minute standoff at his home, Bies eventually emerged carrying an assault rifle, an FBI agent testified in court. Agents told him several times to drop the weapon, which he eventually did.

Had he not done so, the agent testified, according to local media reports, “It would have ended differently.”

Bies’ son left the house safely. Inside the home, agents found 12 other guns and a compound bow. Bies was taken into custody and charged under a law that covers making threats against a federal law enforcement officer. 

He pleaded not guilty and is being held awaiting trial.

Contributing: Josh Meyer

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‘German Shield’: Europe’s Own Multi-Tier Air Defense Architecture Under Development To Combat Russian Threats

As Germany seeks to expand its military presence in Europe amid a raging Russia-Ukraine war, its new air defense architecture is reportedly in the works.

China’s New Hypersonic Drone Can Be Used To Conduct Suicide Attacks On US F-22, F-35 Stealth Fighters – Military Experts

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz recently announced that his country has decided to invest significantly in air defense in the coming years, providing other European countries an opportunity to tap into the German-led arms architecture.

Speaking at Charles University in the Czech Republic on August 29, Scholz laid out the German government’s updated plan for defending the European Union from the air in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The announcement comes when Germany has raised its defense spending and assumed a more proactive military role.

Scholz has also called for an enlargement of NATO and pledged to support Ukraine for as long as it takes. In February, three days after Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, the German leader declared that his country would dedicate 100 billion Euros ($107 billion) to a special military fund and increase defense spending above 2% of GDP.

The Chancellor stated that “it was the correct answer to the turning point that started with Russia’s attack on Ukraine.” Later, Germany announced it would purchase the US F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jet. The first batch of aircraft will be delivered in 2026.

JUST IN: US Approves Sale of 35 F-35 Fighter ✈️ to #Germany for $8.4 billion. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, GER decided to replace Tornado jets with F-35.

— Joyce Karam (@Joyce_Karam) July 28, 2022

While these measures were taken in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, most of them had been under discussion for years. The air defense concept is fast gaining traction in Germany, with several officials across the board advocating for it.

The United States, for one, has a dedicated missile defense architecture to protect itself from incoming missiles from adversaries. It is designed to shield an entire country from incoming missiles like intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) or other ballistic missiles.

It includes ground-based interceptors, anti-ballistic missiles, sea-based, space-based, laser, and high-altitude missile systems.

While Germany’s air defense architecture does not strive to emulate that of the US, it warrants a long hard look at the promising features that have been iterated by its advocates recently, including its Chancellor.

“If we jointly develop an air defense system in Europe, it will not only be more efficient and cost-effective. It would also be a security gain for Europe as a whole and an outstanding example of strengthening the European pillar within NATO,” he stressed.

German Shield For Europe

The idea of the “German Shield” has been mentioned by officials, with architecture design including multiple countermeasures for threats in low, medium, and upper altitudes and distances. The Shield would be coupled with Airbus’ Surface-to-Air Missile Operations Center (SAMOC) battle management system.

The Surface-to-Air Missile Operation Center (SAMOC) is a mobile air defense management system created primarily for joint operations in a multi-service and global context, including missions under national, NATO, or European Union command.

The system uses advanced planning, multi-data link management, data processing, and ergonomic display technologies to optimize a mixture of sensor and weapon systems.

SAMOC has widespread adoption and enables complete NATO interoperability based on tactical data linkages and military message processing. The system is ready for any existing or upcoming systems to be integrated.

According to Airbus, the SAMOC system can combine parts from NATO and non-NATO countries to create a dedicated defense against adversarial trajectories. As of now, it is used by Saudi Arabia, Germany, and Hungary.

Germany has been focusing on close coordination and air defense integration. As part of previous drills, the German and Dutch forces connected their Patriot air defense systems. As the war in Ukraine proceeded, the two countries deployed their Patriot missile defense systems to Slovakia.

According to Scholz, Poland, the Baltic States, the Czech Republic, and the Scandinavian countries could be other additional countries for integration.

German air force authorities started looking for a superior defense system earlier this year, with Israeli Arrow-3 and Iron Dome as potential options. Germany was also reportedly examining the US-made Terminal High Altitude Air Defense (THAAD); however, that option is currently on the back burner.

9K720 Iskander - WikipediaRussia’s 9K720 Iskander Missile- Wikipedia

German officials and analysts worry that Russia may have deployed deadly Iskander missiles in its Kaliningrad exclave. These missiles can travel at great altitudes and are capable of striking numerous European cities, including Berlin, in a matter of minutes. This is the primary driver of the German Shield Initiative.

In addition, it is unclear whether Germany would opt for one air defense system or a combination of both- Arrow 3 and Iron Dome. Therefore, while little is known about German plans regarding what systems would make up the German Shield, what is known is that the architecture would have a multi-tier system.

Three Tiers To Combat Russian Missiles

Local Defense manufacturers- Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, and Diehl Defense, teamed up last year with a package based on Diehl’s Iris-T SLM interceptor for the lower-tier defense layer. MBDA and other companies have also started manufacturing extremely mobile defense systems designed especially for small drones.

irisGerman IRIS-T AA missile family (via Twitter)

Germany already has the Patriot, a more seasoned high-altitude and long-range system from the US with a track record of success against short-range projectiles that remain inside the atmosphere. With an Arrow or Iron Dome’s acquisition, another advanced missile defense system would be in its pool.

Germany has aimed to establish itself as a leader in the medium-range market, which targets fast aircraft and missiles, with the Tactical Air Defense System or Taktisches Luftverteidigungssystem (TLVS), a Patriot replacement weapon.

MBDA Deutschland and Lockheed Martin had been working on the Medium Extended Air Defense System (MEADS) to fulfill the Luftwaffe’s TLVS requirement. Due to worries that the expenditure would divert funding from a focused effort to combat drones, officials canceled the program last year.

According to Christian Mölling, research director at the German Council on Foreign Relations in Berlin, the consequences of that choice could still jeopardize Germany’s ambitions to be a global leader in air defense. However, with the German-led European Shield, Berlin could catapult itself into the security provider role.

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Feds raid New York properties linked to billionaire Russian oligarch

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Published: 20:16 BST, 1 September 2022 | Updated: 01:31 BST, 2 September 2022

Federal agents have raided two New York properties linked to a billionaire Russian oligarch who is under US sanctions and faces a criminal probe into alleged bank fraud.

FBI and Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) agents on Thursday took part in the raids of a Park Avenue penthouse in Manhattan and a sprawling Hamptons estate tied to Viktor Vekselberg, according to WNBC-TV.

Vekselberg, a close ally of Russian leader Vladimir Putin, is worth an estimated $14.4 billion, and is the powerful head of Moscow-based Renova Group, a conglomerate with interests in metals, mining, tech and other businesses.

He is among the Russian oligarchs under US sanctions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, and also faces a Department of Justice probe into potential violations of US bank fraud statutes, court filings show.

In April, Spanish officials acting on a US warrant seized Vekselberg’s $99 million, 225-foot superyacht ‘Tango’ in a shipyard on the Mediterranean island of Mallorca.

FBI and Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) agents on Thursday took part in the raids of a Park Avenue penthouse in Manhattan (above) and Hamptons estate tied to Viktor Vekselberg

Photos of the Manhattan search show agents in FBI and HSI raid jackets entering the property at 515 Park Avenue and removing boxes of material

Thursday’s raids are believed to be related to an ongoing federal investigation into potential violations of bank fraud, money laundering, and sanction statutes

Agents remove a box marked ‘evidence’ from the Park Avenue apartment building

Vekselberg (right), a close ally of Russian leader Vladimir Putin, is worth an estimated $14.4 billion, and is the powerful head of Moscow-based Renova Group

Thursday’s raids are believed to be related to an ongoing federal investigation into potential violations of bank fraud, money laundering, and sanction statutes.

No criminal charges have been filed yet against Vekselberg, however.  

Video and photos of the Manhattan search show agents in FBI and HSI raid jackets entering the property at 515 Park Avenue and removing boxes of material. 

Also raided was a nine-bedroom, 9,200-square-foot mansion in Southampton which last sold for $11.4 million in 2008. 

WNBC reported that a related search was underway at a property in Miami’s Fisher Island. 

HSI is the primary investigative arm of the Department of Homeland Security, and is tasked with investigating transnational crimes related to international trade, travel and finance.

In April, Spanish officials acting on a US warrant seized Vekselberg’s $99 million, 225-foot superyacht ‘Tango’ in a shipyard on the Mediterranean island of Mallorca

Police stand inside the gated grounds of a home linked to Viktor Vekselberg, in Southampton, on New York’s Long Island, Thursday Sept. 1, 2022

The nine-bedroom, 9,200-square-foot mansion in Southampton (above) which last sold for $11.4 million in 2008 was also raided on Thursday

Federal agents search the 515 Park Avenue home of sanctioned Russian oligarch Viktor Vekselberg on Thursday

Spokespersons for HSI and the FBI’s New York Field Office did not immediately return messages seeking comment from DailyMail.com on Thursday afternoon

HSI is the primary investigative arm of the Department of Homeland Security, and is tasked with investigating transnational crimes related to international trade, travel and finance

The FBI’s New York Field Office did not immediately return messages seeking comment from DailyMail.com on Thursday afternoon. An HSI spokeswoman declined to comment.

Vekselberg is under full blocking sanctions in the United States, where all of his assets are subject to freeze and seizure.

The properties searched on Thursday are not believed to have been seized outright.

Though they are reportedly linked to Vekselberg, their true ownership was not immediately clear.

A spokesperson for Vekselberg could not be immediately reached for comment.

Vekselberg is not included on the list of people subject to European Union sanctions against Russia.

However, he was first placed under US sanctions in 2018 over alleged Russian interference in the 2016 US presidential election.

Vekselberg was also included on a list of members of Putin’s inner circle targeted in retaliation for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine earlier this year.

Vekselberg was first placed under US sanctions in 2018 over alleged Russian interference in the 2016 US presidential election

The FBI and Spanish authorities seized a mega yacht belonging to oligarch Viktor Vekselberg earlier this year, amid calls to further tighten sanctions on Russia

A U.S. federal agent and two Spanish Civil Guards board the yacht called Tango in Palma de Mallorca, Spain in April

The April seizure of his superyacht off Spain was the first major US crackdown targeting the assets of Russian oligarchs over the Ukraine war. 

According to the seizure warrant, Vekselberg is accused of conspiring with others to commit bank fraud by ‘structuring transactions about the Tango in such a manner as to obfuscate Vekselberg’s ownership interest’ in the vessel, thereby tricking US banks into processing banned transactions.

The warrant also cites prior litigation against Renova’s founders, including Vekselberg, dating as far back as 2001, which accused him of involvement in a ‘widespread racketeering and money laundering scheme.’

U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland praised the yacht seizure in a video statement saying: ‘Today marks our task force’s first seizure of an asset belonging to a sanctioned individual with close ties to the Russian regime. It will not be the last.’

‘Together with our international partners, we will do everything possible to hold accountable any individual whose criminal acts enable the Russian government to continue its unjust war.’ 

It was one of multiple seizures that have since been executed by the Justice Department’s ‘KleptoCapture’ task force.

The unit’s name is a play on the word ‘kleptocracy,’ which refers to rule by a corrupted elite who use their power to plunder wealth. 

The task force includes prosecutors, investigators and analysts from multiple federal agencies, including the FBI and HSI.

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China Is Taking Advantage of Russia’s Weakness in Central Asia

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Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s tour of Central Asia in July highlighted Beijing’s growing influence in the region. China has become a top trade partner and investor, surpassing Russia, its silent rival there. With Moscow now preoccupied with the war in Ukraine, Beijing is poised to secure its lead once and for all.

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