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“We“re waiting“: Migrants throng U.S.-Mexico border in asylum limbo

2022-12-22T00:52:56Z

Hundreds of migrants bundled in coats and blankets formed a long line in cold winter air at the U.S.-Mexico border on Wednesday, hoping the Christmas period will bring an end to uncertainty over their hopes of securing asylum in the United States.

Many hoped entry would be easier after a Dec. 21 deadline for the United States to lift COVID-era restrictions, but the U.S. Supreme Court this week ruled to let the policy, called Title 42, temporarily stay in place.

Watching migrants trickle past gates into the United States, several Venezuelans lamented the last-minute move.

“We’re waiting. Here they say one thing, then half an hour later they say something else,” said Venezuelan Vanessa Revenga, 40, one of thousands of migrants to gather in recent weeks in the Mexican border city of Ciudad Juarez, opposite El Paso, Texas.

Title 42 allows U.S. authorities to send migrants of certain nationalities, including Venezuelans, back to Mexico without a chance to seek asylum. The Biden administration has asked the Supreme Court to leave it in place until after Dec. 27.

Christmas has made things even harder, said Venezuelan migrant Yessica Jerales, who was with her two children.

“There’s December 24th and you don’t know where they’re going to sleep,” she said. “They see the lights and it’s Christmas, and you have to explain that where we’re going is to give them a better future.”

Migrants in other border cities face a similar quandary.

Six weeks since he reached Matamoros, opposite Brownsville, Texas, Venezuelan Giovanny Castellanos was gearing up to spend Christmas in a tent away from his wife and five children.

Castellanos said on Wednesday that he saw 30 or 40 people cross the Rio Bravo river to turn themselves in to U.S. agents. Reuters images showed some migrants ferrying small children and belongings on inflatable mattresses.

“Lots of people are desperate, lots of people don’t want to spend Christmas here,” said Castellanos, 32.

Juan Antonio Sierra, who runs the city’s largest migrant shelter, says Matamoros now has up to 8,000 migrants, many of them living in the border encampment or on the streets.

With temperatures forecast to chill further, he worries that those anxious to reach the United States will risk their lives crossing the river.

“It’s dangerous because they can drown, because temperatures fluctuate,” he said, “and it’s going to get even colder.”

Related Galleries:

Migrants queue near the border fence, after crossing the Rio Bravo river, to turn themselves in to U.S. Border Patrol agents and request asylum in El Paso, Texas, U.S., as seen from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez

Migrants queue near the border fence, after crossing the Rio Bravo river, to turn themselves into U.S. Border Patrol agents and request asylum in El Paso, Texas, U.S., as seen from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez

Migrants queue near the border fence, after crossing the Rio Bravo river, to turn themselves in to U.S. Border Patrol agents and request asylum in El Paso, Texas, U.S., as seen from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez

Migrants queue near the border fence, after crossing the Rio Bravo river, to turn themselves in to U.S. Border Patrol agents and request asylum in El Paso, Texas, U.S., as seen from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez

Migrants queue near the border fence, after crossing the Rio Bravo river, to turn themselves in to U.S. Border Patrol agents and request asylum in El Paso, Texas, U.S., as seen from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez

Asylum-seeking migrants rest near the Rio Bravo river, the border between Mexico and the U.S., in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez


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Donald Trump is left barking at the moon as it all falls apart for him

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It was Monday evening. The moon hovered, shining down as it tends to do. Stars winked and cast a shining glow as streets full of people wound down from a long day. And some of these millions of people were processing what they had seen on Monday afternoon when the January 6 committee made their referrals to the Justice Department.

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And one person was barking at the moon. “I won!” Now who could that be, I wonder. Donald Trump, glowing with rage, took to truth social to tell the world (well — in this case, the piddling number of people who were actually listening, that he was an innocent man.)


Trump then proceeded to nauseate many by quoting Nietzsche, which is sort of like Samuel Alito quoting Gloria Steinem. Trump said that what doesn’t kill him makes him stronger. Trump also repeated his claims of double jeopardy, showing the world that though what doesn’t kill him might make him stronger in his mind, it does not seem to provide him with any degree of intelligence.

He also accused people of being out to get him. Well, we knew something like this was coming, right? How could it not? There was no way Trump was going to let the January 6 committee have the last word. So once again, Trump set out to tell his truth — and once again, nobody listened, mainly because Trump doesn’t know the meaning of the word truth.

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11th Circuit Court of Appeals strikes again

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The Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals has been on a roll lately. It would be difficult to call them “biased” or “political” in any way. It is as if they are going out of their way to show they haven’t been politicized like SCOTUS and are ruling solely on the law. They put Florida District “judge” Aileen Cannon in her place by overturning her ruling appointing a special master in the Mar-a-Lago document fiasco, and now, they have done it again in a case filed in the Northern District of Georgia by the Southern Poverty Law Center (“SPLC”) in 2021.

Seeking to protect the health of four children with recognized, protected disabilities, SLPC filed suit against the Cobb County School District for rescinding its Covid 19 protections for children like these. Simply put, the school board was pressured by anti-mask parents, bowing to their demands, and putting these four children’s lives at risk. SPLC moved for an immediate injunction, which Chief Judge Timothy Batten almost immediately denied. Because of that denial, the parents of these children had no choice put to remove their children from school-upsetting not only the lives of the children but their own lives-to homeschool them to keep them safe. Some of these children were extremely susceptible to Covid 19.

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The four children at the center of this suit have disabilities that are directly impacted by exposure to Covid. One has Duchenne muscular dystrophy and must take steroids, which compromise the immune system. Another suffers from acute myeloid leukemia and controls his illness with chemotherapy, which also weakens the immune system. Yet another has severe asthma with a history of pneumonia and upper respiratory infections, and the fourth suffers from bronchiectasis. These four children were enrolled in in-person learning because Covid protocols were in place, but they were taken away shortly before the school year began. When their parents tried to enroll them in virtual, they were told it was “too late.” The lives of these children were of no consequence to the Cobb County School District, and SPLC sued on their behalf for an immediate injunction, which Batten denied.


The students appealed because the “district court impermissibly broadened their claim and redefined the scope of the program at issue in this case.” The Eleventh Circuit began with two words: “We agree.” The Eleventh Circuit also opined that: “The denial of a preliminary injunction ‘rests within the sound discretion of the district court.’ We will reverse only if the district court abused its discretion or if the denial is contrary to a rule of equity.” That court found that the district court either abused its discretion (like Aileen Cannon) or it had denied these children contrary to a rule of equity.

It is unfortunate that politics took priority over people’s children. Not one child in the school district would have been harmed by wearing a mask, but these children could die because other parents want to make a point. Organizations like SPLC exist for this very reason. These parents now have a shot at making school safe for their children so that they can return to the classroom.

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Zelenskiy says peace with Russia means no compromises on sovereignty, territory

2022-12-21T23:39:49Z

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Wednesday said that a “just peace” with Russia means no compromises on his country’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, but questioned if there could be such a peace for parents who have lost their children.

Appearing at a White House news conference with U.S. President Joe Biden midway through a brief visit, Zelenskiy reaffirmed in personal terms his conditions for any settlement to the war ignited by Russia’s invasion nearly 10 months ago.

“I don’t know what just peace is,” he began in answering a question about what he considered a fair way to end the conflict that has killed tens of thousands, uprooted millions and destroyed cities and towns. “It’s a very philosophical description. If there is a just war, I don’t know.”

“For me as the president, just peace is no compromises as to the sovereignty, freedom and territorial integrity of my country. The payback for all the damages inflicted by Russian aggression,” Zelenskiy continued, referring to his demand for reparations from Moscow.

He added that he did not see how there could be a just peace for parents whose children have been killed.

“How may parents lost their sons and daughters on the frontlines? So what is just peace for them? Money is nothing,” continued the father of two young children. “Reparations are of no consequence. They (parents) live by revenge.”

“The longer the war lasts, the longer this aggression lasts, there will be more parents who live for the sake of vengence and I know a lot of people like that,” said Zelenskiy.

Responding to the same question, Biden said the United States shares with Zelenskiy the “exact same vision of a free, independent, prosperous and secure Ukraine.”

He and Zelenskiy want the conflict to end, Biden continued, adding it could stop “today if (Russian President Vladimir) Putin had any dignity at all” and pulled his troops out of Ukraine. “But that’s not going to happen.”

The United States, its allies and others would continue arming Ukraine, Biden said, “so that if and when President Zelenskiy is ready to talk to the Russians, he will be able to succeed as well, because he would have won on the battlefield.”

The Kremlin on Wednesday said it saw no chance of peace talks with Kyiv and would continue what Putin calls a “special military operation” to rid Ukraine of nationalists and protect Russian-speaking communities.

Ukraine and the West say Russia is pursuing an illegal, unprovoked war of aggression.

Related Galleries:

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy looks as he visits the Capitol with U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) during a meeting, in Washington, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy delivers remarks next to U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) during a meeting at the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy talks with U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) as they meet at the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein
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From Poland to Pelosi: Zelenskiy“s high-security travels to Washington

2022-12-21T23:49:15Z

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy was seen at the train station in the southern Polish city of Przemysl on his way to the U.S. on Wednesday (December 21), footage from private broadcaster TVN showed.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s surprise visit to Washington, his first overseas trip since Russia invaded his country 300 days ago, started with a secretive train ride to Poland late on Tuesday.

The next morning, he arrived in the southern Polish city of Przemysl, where he was spotted at the train station according to footage from private broadcaster TVN, along with U.S. ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who accompanied him.

Zelenskiy’s visit had been planned for days and organized in secret because of concerns about his safety, but details were tweeted on Tuesday by a reporter from U.S.-based newsletter Punchbowl News.

In Poland, he boarded a U.S. government plane which landed at about noon EST (1700 GMT) on Wednesday at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland, some 12 miles southeast of Washington.

He traveled by motorcade to Blair House, the presidential guest house along Pennsylvania Avenue, and after freshening up from his trip, he traveled to the nearby White House, where he was greeted by President Joe Biden and his wife Jill Biden.

Rather than a suit and tie, Zelenskiy wore his signature army green sweater and cargo pants, a grim reminder that he came directly from a war zone.

There was no “mathematical formula” for the right day for Zelenskiy to make this trip, a senior Biden administration official told reporters late on Tuesday, but added that the trip would be “an important injection of momentum and sustenance” to U.S. and allied support as winter sets in.

The administration consulted closely with Zelenskiy on the “security parameters” of him being able to leave Ukraine and visit the United States briefly and return, said the official, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

“Of course, it ultimately was his decision to make. He concluded that those security parameters were met. What he needed, we agreed with that, and so we are executing accordingly,” the official said.

Ukraine in recent weeks has come under intense Russian missile and drone bombardment to disrupt its energy infrastructure, leaving millions of people without electricity or running water in winter. Ukraine typically experiences long, cold winters with mean temperatures several degrees below zero Celsius and lows down to -20 Celsius.

Moments before Zelenskiy arrived, the U.S. State Department announced the latest package of security assistance to Ukraine worth $1.85 billion and including Patriot missiles, deemed to be one of the most advanced U.S. air defense systems.

At the White House, Zelenskiy held talks with Biden and his top national security aides, before participating in a joint news conference with Biden in the East Room, which was decked out with festive holiday decorations.

He then was proceeding to Capitol Hill to meet House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other lawmakers, and address a joint meeting of the U.S. Senate and House.

Zelenskiy’s less than 12-hour visit came together largely over the past two weeks after the two leaders discussed Zelenskiy coming over in a Dec. 11 phone call. The White House three days later extended a formal invitation to him, the U.S. official said.

Zelenskiy accepted the invitation last Friday and the visit was confirmed on Sunday.

At their news conference, Biden said it was important to have Zelenskiy visit “to look you in the eye.”

“President Zelenskiy, I’m honored to welcome you back to the White House,” said Biden.

Related Galleries:

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy awards a Ukrainian service member at a position in the frontline town of Bakhmut, amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine December 20, 2022. Ukrainian Presidential Press Service/Handout via REUTERS

A worker installs Ukrainian and U.S. flags near the U.S. Capitol ahead of a visit by Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy for talks with U.S. President Joe Biden and an address to a joint meeting of Congress in Washington, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

A worker installs Ukrainian and U.S. flags along Pennsylvania Avenue ahead of a visit by Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy for talks with U.S. President Joe Biden and an address to a joint meeting of Congress in Washington, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque
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The George Santos House Republican scandal just got even uglier

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Days ago the New York Times reported that incoming House Republican George Santos had allegedly faked most of the major details of his life. He didn’t work at the companies he claimed to have worked at. The college he claims he graduated from had never heard of him. Even his animal nonprofit didn’t seem to exist. And this all came amid serious questions about how he’d gone from a renter who was evicted multiple times, to the supposed owner of several rental properties, in just a few years. Now it’s gotten even uglier.

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Jewish publication The Forward is now reporting that Santos, who claims his ancestors fled the Holocaust, may not even be Jewish. The accusation is serious enough that even the Republican Jewish Coalition, an obviously pro-Republican group, now says it wants Santos to explain himself.


On Tuesday I wrote that while the House Republican leadership would surely prefer Santos stick around and help protect its tiny majority, it was entirely plausible that Santos could end up quitting in the hope of getting the media to lose interest before it could dig up even more on him. Specifically I said that it might all come down to what other kinds of secrets or lies Santos might be sitting on.

This new allegation, that he may have lied about being Jewish, would certainly point to there being more to come in this scandal. As I said before, if there ends up being a criminal element to this (a fake charity would potentially qualify), then the DOJ is going to keep digging into this whether Santos remains in the public eye or not. But if this is all just an embarrassing series of lies, and Santos thinks he can make it all stop simply by quitting before taking office and disappearing from view, he could indeed end up quitting. It’s impossible to say how this will end, but at this point a special election to replace him is certainly a realistic scenario.

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Why a non-Jewish NBA player is buying Hanukkah donuts for fans

Fans of the Sacramento Kings will be treated to a Hanukkah surprise at tonight’s home game: sufganiyot paid for by the team’s all-star power forward, Domantas Sabonis.

Domantas Sabonis in action for the Kings. Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images

Sabonis, a Lithuanian American who played at Gonzaga University, isn’t Jewish — but his wife, Shashana is, and their toddler has a Hebrew name.

The Sabonises announced the giveaway — the first 500 fans to visit section 111 in the Golden 1 Center’s lower bowl get a free jelly donut — on their Instagram pages Wednesday. (If you weren’t already aware, deep-fried jelly donuts recall the oil that miraculously lasted eight days in the Hanukkah story.)

Sabonis’ announcement today. Photo by screenshot from Instagram/@dsabonis11

Shashana Sabonis (née Rosen) attended Milken Community High School, a Jewish school in Los Angeles, and married the former Indiana Pacer in a Jewish ceremony on the French Riviera in 2021. She runs a dance studio for kids called The Movement.

On her Instagram account earlier this year, Shashana revealed that the couple’s child, Oliver Tiger Sabonis, also has a Hebrew name: Shiloh. And Domantas Sabonis is clearly hip to some of Los Angeles’ Jewish cultural landmarks, as he’s known to bring his wife goodies from Canter’s Deli when the Kings are in Los Angeles.

She also wrote that the couple plans to raise their kids Jewish, including by teaching them Hebrew.

“That’s something Domas brought up like week 1,” she said on her Instagram story in September. “He knew I wasn’t going to take him serious bc of religion. I am a practicing Jew, I have been my whole life, that was not something I was willing to compromise on.”

The couple met at Catch, a trendy restaurant in Los Angeles opened by Jewish nightlife impresario Mark Birnbaum.

Domantas Sabonis, a 7-footer whose father Arvydas Sabonis is in the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame, is one of at least two NBA players with a Jewish spouse. The other, Kevin Love, married Kate Bock under a chuppah at the New York Public Library this summer.

They aren’t the only American professional basketball players celebrating Hanukkah this year: the Wizards’ Deni Avdija, the NBA’s only active Jewish player, lit candles before taking on the Lakers in Los Angeles, and Ryan Turell of the G League’s Motor City Cruise participated in a public lighting ceremony in Detroit.

The post Why a non-Jewish NBA player is buying Hanukkah donuts for fans appeared first on The Forward.

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Why the Internet Suddenly Has a Thing For Avatar 2’s Jake Sully

After a 13-year wait, the second installment of James Cameron’s Avatar series, Avatar: The Way of Water, has arrived and is set to be a box office hit. Despite its flaws, the movie is a visual spectacle, with stunning shots of the planet Pandora’s ecological system and inhabitants, the 10-foot-tall, slender blue aliens known as the Na’vi, rendered in computer-generated imagery that looks mind-bogglingly real. So real, in fact, that some viewers have come away from The Way of Water with a strong liking for one of the aliens in particular: the Marine-turned-Na’vi, Jake Sully.

[time-brightcove not-tgx=”true”]

Fancams of Sully, in which video clips of him are edited together and set to a popular song, have been circulating Twitter and TikTok since before the movie’s release in December. Fancams, which are typically highly-stylized clips of a certain beloved artist, character or actor, took off as an art in 2020, thanks to K-pop fans who would reply to tweets from pop culture Twitter accounts like Pop Crave and Pop Base with videos of their favorite artists. Slowly, the phenomenon started to work its way outside of the K-pop realm and seep into mainstream pop culture, as we’re now seeing with the rise of Avatar 2 fancams.

avatar 10/10 jakesully daddy supremacy alone pic.twitter.com/KVXXVnNNlf

— silenzio bruno (@sluggishgods) December 16, 2022

The hashtags #JakeSully and #JakeSullyEdit have a combined 810 million views on TikTok. Some of the videos include clips of scenes from the first movie spliced together with quick cuts, filters, and slow motion tacked on. One video uploaded Dec. 3 has amassed close to six million views and almost one million likes.

@mangovenice

jake scrap #fyp #avataredit #jakesully #jakesullyedit #avatar #avatarsequels #avatarthewayofwater #atwow #edit #avatar2009 #film #pandora #explorepage #viral #xyzbca

♬ original sound – EX7STENCE™

A more recent fanedit shows clips from the new movie and the old with the parody song that is taking over TikTok, “BigBoys” sung by the cast of SNL and SZA. The caption reads, “May not be as big in width but definitely big in length.” It has over two million views.

@torukfilms

May not be as big in width but definitely big in length 😩🧎🏽‍♀️ #StumbleToVictory #MinisoPentaClaus #DoTheSmartThings #avatar #avatar2 #jakesully #jakesullyavatar #fyp #fypシ #viral #trend #foryou #GenshinImpact33 #GenshinImpact33 #xyzbca #blowthisup #fyp #4u #bigboy

♬ original sound – torukfilms

It’s unsurprising that the fandom for this character has found a new place on TikTok as there’s been a community of people who have admired this lean, mean, man-fighting machine since 2009. On Archive of Our Own, a website where people publish fanfictions, there are stories about Sully, his wife Neytiri, and many other things dating all the way back to Dec. 2009. Many of the early fanfictions dating back to the early 2010s have thousands of hits (the number of times the story has been accessed). Some of the most recent stories were uploaded today, Dec. 21, with hundreds of hits and growing. The number of these fan stories and fancams will only continue to grow as more Avatar sequels roll out, with the next one scheduled for 2024.

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A Ukrainian military captain asked Zelenskyy to give Biden a medal he had won for his service: ‘Give it to a very brave president’

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks after giving President Joe Biden a gift as they meet in the Oval Office of the White House, Wednesday, Dec. 21, 2022, in Washington.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks after giving President Joe Biden a gift as they meet in the Oval Office of the White House, Wednesday, Dec. 21, 2022, in Washington.

Patrick Semansky/Associated Press

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with President Joe Biden at the White House Wednesday.
  • Zelenskyy gave Biden a medal as the request of the “brave” military captain who earned it.
  • “Undeserved but much appreciated,” Biden said, asking for the soldier’s name to contact him.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy presented President Joe Biden with a medal at the request of the soldier it was awarded to.

Biden welcomed the Ukrainian president to the White House on Wednesday. During a meeting in the Oval Office, Zelenskyy said a Ukrainian soldier, who he described as a “real hero, a real captain,” asked him to pass along the award.

Zelenskyy said the soldier is the captain of the HIMARS battery, a unit that uses an advanced long-range weapons system from the US.

“He’s very brave, and he said, ‘Give it to a very brave president,”‘ Zelensky said, adding that the award was a “Cross for Military Merit” as he handed over a box that held the medal.

“Undeserved but much appreciated,” Biden said. He also asked for the soldier’s name so he could contact him and give him a “command coin.”

—ABC News (@ABC) December 21, 2022

 

The trip to the US marked Zelenskyy’s first departure from Ukraine since Russia invaded in February. In addition to meeting with Biden, the Ukrainian president was expected to meet with a number of senior US officials on the trip, and address a joint session of the US Congress on Thursday.

During the White House visit on Wednesday, Zelenskyy expressed gratitude to Biden for the support of the US during the war, and came with a list of wishes for additional military aid.

Biden announced $1.85 billion in additional military aid for Kyiv, which would include the first transfer of a Patriot missile defense system, the main air defense system of the US military.

Read the original article on Business Insider
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Ukraine’s heavy artillery, not high-tech anti-tank missiles, is what stopped Russia’s rush to Kyiv, experts say

Ukraine soldier Russian tankA Ukrainian soldier checks a wrecked Russian tank outside a village east of Kharkiv on April 1.

SERGEY BOBOK/AFP via Getty Images

  • Ukrainian troops fended off a Russian advance on Kyiv in the first weeks of the Russia-Ukraine war.
  • Coverage of the fighting often focused on the role of anti-tank missiles in stopping that advance.
  • But it was “massed fires” from artillery units that enabled Ukraine to turn back Russia’s tanks.

In the first days of the Ukraine war, when Russian armored columns seemed poised to capture Kyiv, the world watched outgunned and outnumbered Ukrainian troops use an array of missiles to fend off Russian tanks and decimate Russian convoys — or so it seemed.

Many people believe the initial Russian offensive was halted in large part by Ukraine’s diverse arsenal of anti-tank missiles. This included Ukrainian-designed Stuhna-Ps, laser-guided weapons fired from Turkish-made TB2 Bayraktar drones, and US-made Javelins and British/Swedish-designed NLAWs.

In reality, it was Ukrainian artillery that frustrated the Russian advance, according to a Royal United Service Institute report on lessons of the Ukraine war.

“Despite the prominence of anti-tank guided weapons in the public narrative, Ukraine blunted Russia’s attempt to seize Kyiv using massed fires from two artillery brigades,” according to the British think tank’s report, which assesses the fighting between February and July.

Ukraine artillery in ZaporizhzhiaUkrainian troops fire a howitzer in the Zaporizhzhia Region on December 16.

Dmytro Smoliyenko / Ukrinform/Future Publishing via Getty Images

The problem isn’t that anti-tank missiles are ineffective against tanks, said Jack Watling, who coauthored the study.

“The problem is that it is not economical or practical to have enough of them concentrated in one area to actually blunt a large armored thrust,” Watling told Insider.

Ukraine had about 9,100 anti-tank guided missiles at the start of the war, plus a smaller number of launchers, according to Watling. This was enough to pin down Russian armor, hit targets of opportunity, and engage Russian tanks from beyond the range their cannons.

However, “delivering large volumes of fire against concentrated units is best achieved by artillery,” Watling said. “This was what destroyed the most Russian equipment and killed the most Russian soldiers.”

Watling stressed that this is not a matter anti-tank missiles vs. artillery.

“You need both. However, much of the international discussion suggested that the task could be completed with one alone,” Watling told Insider. “And of the two, having sufficient artillery is more important in terms of destroying the enemy in high-intensity warfare.”

Ukrainian recruit soldier with a Javelin anti-tank weaponA Ukrainian recruit trains on a Javelin anti-tank weapon in southern England on October 11.

DANIEL LEAL/AFP via Getty Images

In addition, the line between tanks and anti-tank missiles has become blurred. Many Russian tanks — and Ukrainian tanks, which are upgraded Soviet-era designs — are designed to fire anti-tank guided missiles from their cannons.

The US experiment with this kind of missile-launching tank in the 1970s was a failure: The M551 Sheridan and M60A2 “Starship” were less than popular, in part because their Shillelagh missiles were finicky and the tank had to remain stationary while the missile was in flight.

But the Ukraine conflict has seen plenty of tank-launched missiles, according to Watling.

“Those who are arguing that tanks were obsolete because of ATGMs probably didn’t appreciate how many missiles in the conflict have been launched out of the barrels of tanks,” Watling said. “This is because the tanks have the sighting systems to acquire the targets and because they can sit in positions to overwatch more safely while guiding a missile to target.”

However, Ukrainian man-portable ATGMs were able to nullify Russian tank-launched missiles to some extent.

Ukrainian missiles “could engage at middle distance beyond the range of tank cannon but within light of sight,” Watling said. “Being able to engage at that range was important because it forced the Russians to hold off or to press home an attack, since they couldn’t sit safely at that distance and use their barrel-launched ATGMs.”

Ukraine soldier guard NLAW anti-tank missileA Ukrainian border guard with an NLAW anti-tank missile launcher near the borders with Russia and Belarus on November 3.

SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images

Perhaps this shouldn’t be a surprise.

Early in the war, when the fighting was more fluid, drones and missiles generated all the buzz, but the fact is that Ukraine had a limited number of missiles when the war began and a lot of foreign weapons didn’t begin to arrive in significant numbers until weeks after Russia invaded.

Had Russia been able to seize Kyiv in the first week or two, those Western arms might have arrived too late to save Ukraine.

Despite being outnumbered and outranged by Russian howitzers and rockets, Ukrainian artillery disrupted clumsy Russian armored columns that were making narrowly focused attacks with over-concentrated forces that impeded each other.

Ukraine artillery 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer Bakhmut DonetskUkrainian artillerymen load a 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer on the front line near Bakhmut on December 10.

IHOR TKACHOV/AFP via Getty Images

As the Russians drove on Kyiv in March, “this unfavorable battlefield geometry made it impossible for the Russians to build up significant momentum, as they came under sustained and intense artillery fire throughout the month,” the RUSI report noted.

Now that the fighting is more static and the operations by both sides are more methodical, old-fashioned artillery — leavened with newer systems such as HIMARS rockets — has emerged as the decisive weapon.

Anti-tank missiles are still vital, not least to protect the artillery from marauding tanks. As combined-arms warfare has long taught, a successful army needs a variety of mutually supporting weapons.

Michael Peck is a defense writer whose work has appeared in Forbes, Defense News, Foreign Policy magazine, and other publications. He holds a master’s in political science. Follow him on Twitter and LinkedIn.

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