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Coney Island, N.Y., Shooting Leaves Five Wounded

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Five people were wounded in an overnight shooting on Coney Island in Brooklyn, the New York Police Department said Sunday.

Gunfire broke out around 2 a.m. ET near Riegelmann Boardwalk and West 21st Street, where a large group of people had gathered for a pop-up party on the beach, police said.

The investigation is ongoing, police said. No arrests have been made.

The initial 911 call indicated a man was hit by gunfire, according to the NYPD. First responders arriving at the scene found two women, a 27-year-old and a 26-year-old, who had each been hit in the leg.

A 36-year-old man was shot in the chin, police said. All three victims were transported to NYU Langone Hospital-Brooklyn and are in stable condition, police said.

Two other gunshot victims made it to nearby NYC Health + Hospitals/Coney Island by private means, police said.

One of them, a 31-year-old man, was shot in the back and was in critical but stable condition. The other, a 19-year-old man, was in stable condition with a gunshot wound to his leg, police said.

The shooting occurred near the Coney Island Amphitheater, just a few blocks from some of the biggest attractions along the famous beach boardwalk, including Nathan’s Famous hot dog stand and the Cyclone Roller Coaster.

Write to Ginger Adams Otis at Ginger.AdamsOtis@wsj.com

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Putin’s Problem: What Happened to Russia’s Spetsnaz Special Forces in Ukraine?

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Russia’s Spetsnaz Special Forces in Ukraine: An Update – As an increasingly taxing and resource-intensive undertaking, Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine likely involves almost every element of Russia’s family of special forces agencies. These agencies were supposed to play a pivotal role in the opening hours and days of what was intended to be a quick operation, which did not come to pass in the slightest. However, these special forces elements of Russia’s armed forces and security organs continue to play an important role in Russia’s ongoing invasion, albeit not as centrally as they were initially intended to be.

What Special Forces does Russia Have Available to Use in Ukraine?

Russia has a dizzying variety of units in its armed forces and security organs which can be labeled as special forces, or “Spetsnaz” as they are known in popular culture and in the Russian language. Spetsnaz itself is a portmanteau of the Russian words vojska spetsialnogo naznachenie, which translates to “special purpose forces.”

The core elements of Russia’s Spetsnaz which can trace their roots to Soviet times are those which are controlled by the armed forces’ Main Intelligence Directorate and the civilian Federal Security Service (known by their Russian acronyms GRU and FSB respectively). Within the FSB, the Alpha Group and Vympel Group are particularly well known, as are the FSB’s preeminent Spetsnaz units. The GRU’s Spetsnaz units are the oldest of those in Russian service today, and were initially formed in 1949. In addition to taking part of the GRU’s wider military intelligence mission, GRU Spetsnaz also specialize in targeted operations, including assassinations.

In addition to these older special forces organizations, the Russian National Guard (also known by its Russian name Rosgvardia) is the newest addition to the Russian spetsnaz ecosystem and also one of the most politicized. Formed in 2016 by amalgamating the Interior Ministry’s Internal Troops, SOBR rapid response special forces units, and OMON special police, the Rosgvardia serves as both a pseudo-military branch and an internal security organization. While other units such as the Foreign Intelligence Service’s (SVR) Zaslon or the Federal Penitentiary Service’s special forces units fall under the Spetsnaz umbrella, they are more often than not overshadowed by their larger GRU, FSB, and Rosgvardia cousins.

Early Employment of Special Forces in the Invasion of Ukraine

In the first hours of the war, a variety of Spetsnaz units immediately entered Ukraine and began to assist in what was expected to be a quick regime-change operation. According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Russian Spetsnaz troops were operating in civilian clothes in Kyiv on the hunt for Ukrainian government officials and leaders such as Zelensky himself in the first days of the invasion. This employment of Spetsnaz is characteristic of the “political warfare” skillset Russian Spetsnaz units are often designed for, which sets them apart from their American and Western counterparts. However, despite the reportedly wide range of activity taken on by Russian Spetsnaz units in Ukraine in the opening days of the war, they were unable to bring about a quick end to the campaign, and the Ukrainian government remained in power and functional.

What We Know: Current Uses of Special Forces in Ukraine

Now that the war in Ukraine has taken on the character of a war of attrition between two opposing armies rather than a scrambled combination of covert and overt actions as the first days were, Russia’s Spetsnaz have lost their central role in Moscow’s strategy. Although visual evidence exists which suggests that Russian Spetsnaz troops are still fighting in Ukraine, their exact role in the invasion today remains a bit foggier.

While they might not all be assigned to units classified as Spetsnaz, Rosgvardia’s presence in Ukraine remains well-documented. Supposedly included within the structure of the Rosgvardia, Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov’s Kadyrovtsy troops have taken an active role in some of the war’s most well-known flashpoints, such as the battles for Mariupol and locales near Kyiv. However, they have gained a reputation of being a made-for-tik-tok unit rather than a potent fighting force, which limits the actual influence of the Kadyrovtsy in practice, despite their effectively autonomous nature. The wider Rosgvardia appears to be having troubles of its own, as numerous cases have been opened against Rosgvardia troopers who had refused to take part in combat operations in Ukraine.

Even if Russia’s Spetsnaz were unable to decisively bring Moscow’s “special military operation” to a close in a timely fashion, their fortunes won’t necessarily be harmed or boosted by their performance. Since the Russian national security and political system is built around intra-elite conflicts, the fortunes of different Spetsnaz outfits will likely be a function of the political savvy of their leadership, rather than their performance in Ukraine.

Wesley Culp is a Research Fellow at the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress. He regularly writes on Russian and Eurasian leadership and national security topics and has been published in The Hill as well as in the Diplomatic Courier. He can be found on Twitter @WesleyJCulp.

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G7 to tackle cyber threats and disinformation from Russia: communique

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A sign is pictured during the G7 leaders summit at the Bavarian resort of Schloss Elmau castle, near Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany, June 27, 2022. REUTERS/Lukas Barth/Pool

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GARMISCH-PARTENKIRCHEN, Germany, June 28 (Reuters) – The Group of Seven leaders agreed on Tuesday to strengthen their countries’ defences against foreign disinformation and cyber attacks, including threats posed by Russia.

“We also commit to further strengthening our internal security in light of transnational threats including those posed by Russia and other authoritarian regimes,” said the G7 communique at the end of a summit in Germany.

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Reporting by Matthias Williams and Alexander Ratz; editing by Philip Blenkinsop

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Gunmen kill 19 people in ‘random’ bar shootings in South Africa

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JOHANNESBURG, July 10 (Reuters) – Gunmen killed 19 people in two apparently random shootings within hours of each other at taverns in South Africa, police said on Sunday, reinforcing the country’s bleak status as a global centre for murder.

Attackers armed with rifles and pistols opened fire in the Orlando East bar in the township of Soweto in the early hours of Sunday, killing 15 people and wounding nine, police said.

“You can see by the way the bullet cartridges are cast around that they were just shooting randomly,” said Elias Mawela, police commissioner for Gauteng province.

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Sololo Mjoli’s two sons, Sthembiso, 34, Luyanda, 18, and were both killed in the attack at the bar in one of Soweto’s poorer neighbourhoods, made up mostly of metal sheet shacks.

“I’m so heartbroken,” said the 59-year-old gardener, adding that Sthemibiso’s girlfriend had arrived on the scene shortly after the shooting to find him still breathing.

“Then he was rushed to hospital, where he died.”

Bar waiter Thobani Mhlabiso said he hid behind the fridge to survive the onslaught.

Police cordon off the scene where 15 people were killed by unknown gunmen inside a tavern, in Nomzamo, Soweto, Johannesburg, South Africa, July 10, 2022. REUTERS/Siyabonga Sishi

“There was blood everywhere,” he said.

Police confirmed a second apparently random shooting hours earlier, at around 8:30 p.m. on Saturday, in a tavern in Pietermaritzburg, 500 km southeast of Soweto, which saw four people killed and eight wounded.

Officers said they did not believe the two shootings were linked. The killers from both incidents are on the run, according to police, who said it was not clear how many attackers were involved in either shooting.

South Africa, home to about 60 million people, is one of the world’s most violent countries with 20,000 people murdered every year, one of the highest per-capita murder rates globally.

There are about 3 million guns registered in the country, according to campaign group Gun Free South Africa, though many more are thought to be circulating on the black market.

At the scene of the shooting in Soweto, on the outskirts of Johannesburg, crowds gathered around the police cordon while officers combed the area for clues – one carrying zip-locked bags full of spent bullet cartridges.

Soweto is the largest of the country’s Black townships. They were the creations of white minority rule, which ended in 1994 but whose legacy of widespread poverty, youth unemployment and violence persists nearly three decades later.

Gauteng police commissioner Mawela told Reuters that there had been a third shooting during a suspected robbery in a tavern in Katlehong, also outside Johannesburg, on Thursday night, which killed two people and wounded two others.

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Reporting by Nqobile Dludla and Tim Cocks; Editing by Alison Williams, David Evans and Pravin Char

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Why Russia Should Fear Being Declared A State Sponsor Of Terrorism

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Buckets of flowers offered as memorial for the civilian victims are seen in a shopping mall targeted … [+] by a Russian missile strike in Kremenchuk, Ukraine, June 28th, 2022. (Photo by Narciso Contreras/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

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Analysts have overlooked the significant economic impact on the Russian economy if the United States designates Russia a state sponsor of terrorism. The latest actions by Russia, including its attack on a shopping mall in Ukraine, have increased pressure on the United States to declare Russia a state sponsor of terrorism.

What Is A State Sponsor Of Terrorism Designation? “The United States currently designates as state sponsors of acts of international terrorism the governments of Syria, Iran, North Korea and Cuba,” according to the Congressional Research Service (CRS). “A terrorism designation is but one part in the bilateral relationship between the United States and each of these governments.”

The Secretary of State is authorized to “designate a foreign government for repeatedly providing support for acts of international terrorism, and to curtail aid or trade to that country as a result,” notes CRS. The three statutes that provide this authorization are 1) Section 620A of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, as amended; 2) Section 40 of the Arms Export Control Act, which, as amended, which “prohibits exports, credits, guarantees, other financial assistance, export licensing overseen by the State Department, and general eligibility related to providing munitions under the act,” according to CRS; and 3) Section 1754(c) of the Export Controls Act of 2018.

What Would Be The Economic Implications For Russia Of Being Designated A State Sponsor of Acts of International Terrorism? “The impacts would be quite severe,” said Jason M. Blazakis, professor of practice at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, in an interview. “It would likely expand the types of materiel that could not go to Russia. Dual-export restrictions are a key aspect of the SST [State Sponsor of Terrorism] regime.

“Second, and perhaps even more important, adding Russia to the State Sponsor of Terrorism regime would have implications for every government that continues to engage in any exchange, especially defense-related, with Russia. The SST listing would have secondary effects for countries engaged in such exchanges and they would become a target of secondary sections unless the President issued a waiver to exempt the activity.”

Blazakis served as director of the U.S. State Department’s Counterterrorism Finance and Designations Office in the Bureau of Counterterrorism from 2008 to 2018. “I know firsthand from experience that this is a reason why countries are not often added to the SST list—it complicates these second-order relations,” he said. “Yet, in the case of Russia, adding it to the list is important for this very reason. The U.S. government should want to complicate every aspect of another country’s relationship with Russia. It is pretty clear to me that the balance has shifted again in Russia’s favor and that they have withstood sanctions to date, and while sanctions require time to have impact, that impact is unlikely to be achieved by the winter unless a much more significant sanction is imposed—the listing of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism.

“It would also have the added benefit of getting more companies to de-risk from Russia. That would likely include U.S. and non-U.S. companies. Businesses don’t like operating in countries that are state sponsors of terrorism. This is why Sudan pushed so hard to come off of the SST list during the Trump administration.”

A fireman sits among the rubble of a shopping mall targeted by a Russian missile strike in … [+] Kremenchuk, Ukraine, June 28, 2022. (Photo by Narciso Contreras/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

Major Litigation Risk For Russia If Designated A State Sponsor Of Terrorism: “I believe that if Russia is designated a state sponsor of terrorism, that will significantly enhance the ability of aliens to sue Russia in U.S. courts,” said Charles H. Camp, a Washington, D.C.-based international attorney who has represented foreign and domestic clients in international litigation and debt recovery.

Camp points to the U.S. Supreme Court’s 8-0 decision in Opati v. Republic of Sudan. “It has been over two decades since al Qaeda operatives detonated bombs outside the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, killing over 200 people and injuring thousands more,” writes Amy Howe for SCOTUSblog. “The victims and their family members later filed a lawsuit in federal court in Washington, D.C., seeking to hold Sudan responsible for its role in providing support for al Qaeda. The trial court awarded them billions of dollars, but a federal appeals court cut that award in half. It ruled that the plaintiffs could not recover punitive damages from Sudan because Congress did not authorize such damages until 10 years after the bombings. [The] Supreme Court unanimously (with Justice Brett Kavanaugh recused) threw out that ruling, setting the stage for billions of dollars in punitive damages to be reinstated.

“Although foreign governments normally cannot be sued in U.S. courts, the plaintiffs brought their lawsuit under the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act, which governs immunity for foreign countries and includes several exceptions to the general bar on lawsuits. One such exception is the ‘terrorism exception,’ enacted in 1996, which allows foreign countries that have been identified as ‘state sponsors’ of terrorism to be sued in U.S. courts for supporting terrorists.” (Emphasis added.)

One can only speculate at how large the damages, including punitive damages, a U.S. jury would award Ukrainian victims who sue the Russian government in U.S. courts.

“Once the United States finally designates Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism, Russia will be stripped of any immunity under the U.S. Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act,” said Camp in an interview. “This will result, most importantly, in litigants being able to obtain not just compensatory damages, but punitive damages against Russia. In my view, such judgments that will be able to be entered against Russia will be nearly infinite in amount and will cripple Russia’s ability to operate financially outside of Russia for decades to come, inflicting more financial suffering upon Russia than any sanctions currently being imposed or sanctions that would be imposed upon Russia when it is designated as a state sponsor of terrorism.” (Note: Camp and others argued in Law360 that Russia meets the definition of a state sponsor of terrorism, including for its support for the Wagner Group.)

There is bipartisan support for the designation. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) agree on one thing: The United States should declare Russia a state sponsor of terrorism. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky concurs, citing a Russian missile striking a shopping mall in Kremenchuk and stating “the Russian state has become the largest terrorist organization in the world.” Leaders of the G7, including U.S. President Joe Biden, called the missile strike on the mall an “abominable attack.”

What would be the economic impact on Russia if the United States declared Russia a state sponsor of terrorism? The impact would be significant and could burden the Russian economy for decades.

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Retired army general assesses Russia’s military strategy

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Image – Vladimir Putin: Harold Escalona/shutterstock.com

Ryan tweeted that the purpose of his assessment is to “provide insights into how Putin has evolved his ‘theory of victory’ in #Ukraine.” He suggests that Putin is in search of “the absolute subjugation of the Ukrainian people, and the extinguishment of their sovereignty.” 

Putin himself has stated that he is “leading a war of imperial conquest”, rather than defending Russia “against NATO aggression.” The Russian president has shown willing to continue this conflict down to “the last Ukrainian left standing”

Ryan points out the ways in which Putin’s original plan of invasion and conquest has evolved since 24 February 2022. What was supposed to be the removal of a democratically elected government in Ukraine, replaced by Quislings under the orders of Putin and Russian oligarchs has turned into an ongoing war in which Russia have had to change their military strategy. 

This change in operation has involved a re-shifting of priorities to place the main focus on military operations rather than concurrent, multi-front offensives”. By focussing instead on eastern offensive and southern defensive campaigns, Russians have been able to husband military forces from the original invasion.” From this economic move, Russia has forced the Ukrainians into a war of attrition which they were able to avoid during the battles of Kyiv and Kharkiv. Essentially, this strategy involves destroying “the Ukrainian Army faster than it can be rebuilt”

Russia’s strategy is then to deprive Ukraine economically by holding its military forces in the South in which time and longevity have become part of Putin’s ‘theory of victory’. Putin is also assuming, due to inflation and general weariness,  others countries’ support for Ukraine will dwindle, whilst Russia continues to use “energy exports to generate revenue to support it’s war in Ukraine” as, from an economic perspective, Russia is one of the world’s super powers. 

Putin’s strategy has certainly had success in varying capacity throughout the war in Ukraine so far, however, “many nations, and NATO, have made political and strategic commitment to support Ukraine ‘to the end’”.  Ryan believes Ukraine may be able to win the war, despite Russia’s brutal attack and economic use of resources, “but it requires patience and ongoing commitment of military, intelligence, economic and humanitarian aid to #Ukraine.

Thank you for taking the time to read this article, do remember to come back and check The Euro Weekly News website for all your up-to-date local and international news stories and remember, you can also follow us on Facebook and Instagram.

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Lavrov Walks Out of G20 Talks as West Presses Moscow on Ukraine

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Russia’s top diplomat stormed out of talks with G20 foreign ministers meeting in Indonesia on Friday as Western powers criticized Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine.

Washington and allies condemned Russia’s assault ahead of the meeting before Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov faced what U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken called a barrage of Western criticism at the closed-door talks.

“What we’ve heard today already is a strong chorus from around the world… about the need for the aggression to end,” Blinken said from the meeting on the resort island of Bali.

Blinken and Lavrov had joined colleagues for day-long talks in their first meeting since the outbreak of war, with the host immediately telling them the conflict must end through negotiations.

But Lavrov walked out of a morning session as German counterpart Annalena Baerbock criticized Moscow over its invasion, diplomats said.

He also left an afternoon session before Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba addressed the ministers virtually and was not present as Blinken condemned Russia.

“Our Western partners are trying to avoid talking about global economic issues,” Lavrov told reporters outside the Mulia hotel. “From the moment they speak, they launch into fevered criticism of Russia.”

Blinken shunned a meeting with Lavrov and instead accused Russia of triggering a global food crisis, demanding Moscow allow grain shipments out of war-battered Ukraine.

“To our Russian colleagues: Ukraine is not your country. Its grain is not your grain. Why are you blocking the ports? You should let the grain out,” Blinken said in the closed-door talks, according to a Western official present.

Lavrov earlier told reporters he would not “go running” after Washington for talks.

“It was not us who abandoned contact, it was the United States,” he said.

Abe killing overshadows meet

Before the meeting, Blinken met his French and German counterparts and a senior British official to discuss “Russia’s unprovoked and unjustifiable war of choice” in Ukraine, the State Department said in a statement.

But the gathering was soon overshadowed by the killing of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at a campaign event on Friday.

After the shooting, Blinken voiced alarm over the attack on a longtime ally of Washington and Japan’s longest-serving premier, calling it a “very sad moment.”

Before the news of the attack emerged, Indonesian Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi addressed the Ukraine war in a speech to the ministers including Lavrov.

“It is our responsibility to end the war sooner than later and settle our differences at the negotiating table, not the battlefield,” Marsudi said.

No family photo

A U.S. official indicated Washington did not want to embarrass Indonesia at the meeting by walking out on Lavrov.

But there will be no family photo of the G20 ministers as is customary, an Indonesian government official told AFP.

The hosts have addressed U.S. concerns about Lavrov attending in part by inviting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the G20 summit in November.

In his address, Kuleba told ministers to “remember about 344 families who have lost their children when listening to Russian lies.”

“The minister of the country responsible for their deaths appears in front of you today to share his thoughts on how Russia views cooperation in our globalized world,” he added. 

Blinken arrived at the Mulia hotel on Friday where he could be seen talking with South Africa’s foreign minister before entering the same room as Lavrov, who he last met in January.

Russia’s top diplomat was seated between the Saudi Arabian and Mexican foreign ministers as the meeting began.

British FM leaves

Blinken’s efforts to have a powerful Western stance against Russia at the meeting were diluted after British Foreign Minister Liz Truss pulled out following Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s resignation as leader of his party on Thursday.

She flew out of Indonesia on Friday morning and was replaced by former British ambassador to the European Union Sir Tim Barrow, a British official told AFP.

While in Bali, Blinken will also seek to reopen dialogue with Beijing in talks on Saturday with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi, the first in months after tensions became strained over issues including Taiwan.

The meeting comes as U.S. President Joe Biden voices hope for a conversation in the coming weeks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, with whom he last spoke in March.

Lavrov met Wang on Thursday to discuss Russia’s invasion, which Moscow says it launched to stop Ukraine from joining the NATO military alliance.

The United States has condemned Beijing’s support for Russia, and Blinken is expected to reiterate those warnings in talks with Wang.

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How video of Soviet lawyer with prostitutes set Putin on Kremlin path

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Published: 23:00 BST, 9 July 2022 | Updated: 23:00 BST, 9 July 2022

Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine has resulted in the deaths of tens of thousands of Russian soldiers. Thousands lie unburied and left where they fell on the battlefield, their badly maintained tanks and trucks abandoned for lack of fuel or bombed into tangled wreckage.

These are not hallmarks of a global superpower. They are signs of the decay and rampant corruption that characterises Russia under the rule of the paranoid, kleptomaniac tsar of a failing gangster state.

Putin has milked billions of roubles while his people starve and doesn’t give a tuppenny damn about the lives lost in Ukraine

Chief prosecutor Yuri Skuratov – an obstacle to Putin’s rise – was seen off by a grainy video purporting to show Mr Skuratov in the company of two Moscow prostitutes in the late-1990s

He is a man who is terrified by the idea of his own death and about the betrayal of those around him to such an extent that he didn’t even tell his generals they were to invade Ukraine until the night before the tanks rolled over the border. He believed they’d be victoriously parading through Kyiv’s main square within 72 hours.

I have followed Putin’s career for more than 20 years, I have spoken to his opponents, to the politicians he has had killed, crushed or driven into exile. I’ve even confronted the man himself about his murderous policies – and can’t go back to Russia as a result.

This is the story of how a junior KGB officer rose to become the killer in the Kremlin.

A few miles from the roadside shrine to the Ukrainians killed in Stalin’s Great Terror of 1937 – bleak metal crosses and a slab of granite among the birch trees – lies the last Ukrainian army checkpoint before the front line in the Kyiv district of Northern Ukraine.

Getting on Putin’s wrong side can be fatal – in fact, it often is. Many have suffered his wrath

It’s mid-March. I’m there as a reporter. But as we get close, we are ordered back, away from the Russian army, which now appears to be in retreat. ‘Have the Russians moved? What are they doing?’ I ask. The answer is surprising.

‘They’re so hungry, they come to the villagers and beg for food,’ replies a local. ‘Their commanders want them to fight, but they are too busy asking for scraps to eat.’

Ukrainian soldiers have found abandoned Russian tanks with food rations seven years past their ‘use-by’ dates. Long before the war, there were reports that soldiers had been fed stew made from tinned dog food, relabelled ‘premium quality beef’.

While Russian troops survive on rotting food, fresh versions of their ration packs can be freely bought on the Russian equivalent of eBay for a handful of roubles.

Veteran reporter John Sweeney is currently covering the war in Ukraine

It’s a prime example of the corruption that is killing the Russian war machine – corruption so widespread that everyone from the top brass to the lowliest private is looking to siphon every rouble they can from the state.

At the heart of the rations scam is one of Putin’s favourite gangsters, Yevgeny Prigozhin. Known as Putin’s Chef because his catering company has the multi-billion-rouble contract to supply the Russian army’s food, Prigozhin is also thought to be responsible for Russia’s notorious internet propaganda machine pumping out poison to the West, as well as the murderous mercenary company, the Wagner Group, operating in Ukraine.

Prigozhin was once a hoodlum who served nine years in prison for theft, fraud and gangsterism. Like Putin, who is ten years his junior, he grew up in Leningrad (now St Petersburg), on the wrong side of the tracks.

Putin was born in October 1952 when Stalin had another five months to live. His factory-worker mother and father (a submariner who fought in a military battalion of the NKVD secret police) saw their first two sons die in infancy. Vladimir was born when his mother was aged 41.

There is a twist to the story of his childhood, with an ethnic Russian woman living in Georgia claiming Putin was her bastard son. She says his father ran off and her new man ‘didn’t want “Vova” [the Russian nickname for Vladimir] to live with us any more. Who wants someone else’s child?’

Retired teacher Nora Gogolashvili has confirmed the woman’s story, which could explain much about Putin. Others dispute it. What is certain is that Putin grew up in a grim fifth-floor apartment shared with two other families.

Vera Dmitrievna Gurevich was his teacher: ‘They had a horrid apartment. It was communal and so cold, just awful. There was no hot water, no bath.’

Putin was small, even for those ill-nourished days, but pretty soon he earned a reputation for punching – or kicking – above his weight.

Zarina Zabrisky, a Russian novelist exiled in the US, has researched Putin’s gangster past and said at the age of about 12 he got deeply into martial arts – learning judo and self-defence without weapons under Leonid ‘The Sportsman’ Usvyatsov, a professional wrestler. Usvyatsov was also the boss of an organised crime gang with convictions for currency fraud and rape who spent almost 20 years in prison. His gravestone reads: ‘I’m dead but the mafia is immortal.’

Many of Putin’s judo friends are still part of his gang. Some are billionaires.

In the early 1970s, Usvyatsov got Putin into Leningrad State University, where one of his professors was Anatoly Sobchak, who would re-emerge in 1991 as mayor of St Petersburg.

In 1975, Putin joined the KGB, a route out of poverty for many young Russians.

The training was intense: it is said trainees were given an alsatian puppy at the start of the course, and to graduate at the end had to strangle it with their own hands.

Putin joined the KGB, like many others, as a route out of poverty – but it brought untold effects

The best operators got plum postings in New York, Paris or Rome, but Putin’s first job was monitoring foreigners and consular officials in Leningrad. There, he met Lyudmila Shkrebneva, an Aeroflot hostess, and they married in 1983. The KGB liked its officers to marry as it gave the authorities leverage if they were tempted to defect.

Putin’s second posting was to Dresden in Communist East Germany, where it has been suggested he was responsible for arming the far-Left West German-based terrorist group the Red Army Faction. There, he reportedly made some useful friends in the secret police, one of whom was Matthias Warnig, now a banker, who was the German frontman for the Nord Stream project, piping vast quantities of gas from Russia to Germany.

When the Berlin Wall fell in 1989, Putin found himself feeding KGB files into the boiler in the basement of his office building until it cracked, broken by too much heat.

His tragedy – our tragedy – was that he had no first-hand knowledge of the Soviet Union’s failure.

Rather than learn about the endemic failings that led to the Chernobyl nuclear plant disaster or the Soviets’ misadventure into Afghanistan, he swallowed the nonsense that the collapse of the Soviet empire was the result of Western trickery and domestic betrayal. Not the truth: that the Soviet Union had run out of cash, self-belief and purpose.

As a result, Putin suffers tunnel vision, having once declared that the fall of the Soviet Union was ‘the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th Century’.

Perhaps it was Putin’s underworld connections that made his former university professor Anatoly Sobchak appoint him deputy mayor of post-Soviet St Petersburg. Certainly it was a joke in the city that Sobchak was mayor by day and Putin mayor by night. Behind the scenes, Putin sold licences, permits and paperwork to enable businessmen – almost always connected to the mafia – to make a handsome profit. All involved the mob.

For their part, both Sobchak and Putin grew rich.

Critical to Putin’s covert gangsterism was suborning the police and the judiciary to subverting the rule of law.

The pattern which Putin followed as Russian president from 2000 was set in St Petersburg: creating a corrupt system, turning the forces of law and order inside out, using the rebranded KGB to enforce his will.

Post-Soviet St Petersburg had big stocks of valuable metals, but no food. Putin organised contracts to swap the metals for food. But the metal was sold cheaply, the food was ordered at prices that were sky high. The profits went to shell companies which quickly vanished, taking the money with them.

He got close to the Tambov crime gang, the biggest and nastiest in St Petersburg, which was connected to Roman Tsepov, who founded the security firm that provided protection for Putin and Sobchak. It was said that the man was the go-between for Putin and the mob, handling ‘black cash’.

Tsepov was arrested on a number of occasions but the charges never stuck. He also survived five attempts on his life and reportedly gave Putin’s wife Lyudmila an emerald stolen from South Korea. Later, Tsepov was poisoned.

Another charismatic figure who spotted Putin’s usefulness was Boris Berezovsky, a brilliant mathematician turned car dealer who needed a permit to build a garage to service the luxury Mercedes and BMWs he was importing from Germany.

When Sobchak was voted out of office in 1996, he recommended Putin to the Russian leader Boris Yeltsin – who gave him a job in the Kremlin’s property department.

The timing was fortuitous: a new class of oligarch was stealing billions from the hapless Russian public. Roman Abramovich and his then mentor, Berezovsky, made a killing from a rigged auction for the Siberian oil giant Sibneft, putting in $100 million each for a company worth untold billions. Oleg Deripaska did something similar with his aluminium mines and smelters in Siberia.

When Yeltsin’s poll numbers tanked, the oligarchs bought the election for him but started looking for a more reliable frontman.

Berezovsky suggested Putin.

In 1998, Putin was made head of the FSB, keeper of the Kremlin’s secrets and king of kompromat – compromising material. It was a time of crisis for the oligarchs. Russia’s chief prosecutor, Yuri Skuratov, was looking into their shady deals with Yeltsin.

The following year, Russian prime-time TV viewers were treated to a grainy black-and-white video of a fat middle-aged man in bed with two young prostitutes.

Skuratov denied he was the man in the video, but his career was finished and his investigation shut down.

The payback was huge.

Yeltsin made Putin acting prime minister. Kompromat gave Putin the keys to the Kremlin. And then the serious killing started.

His run for president, in 2000, went flawlessly. Hugely popular with the Russian electorate, he was also feted by Western leaders because he seemed so unlike Yeltsin – sober, measured and coherent.

But there were people who knew about his time in St Petersburg. One of those was his oldest friend in politics, Anatoly Sobchak.

Three days after Putin asked Sobchak to campaign for him in Kaliningrad, a Russian enclave between Poland and Lithuania, he suffered a fatal heart attack.

What made the circumstances so suspicious was that his two bodyguards also suffered heart attacks. It is believed all three were poisoned by a substance sprayed on to the reading lamp on his bedside table.

Putin’s true colours began to emerge. In September 1999, a series of bombs in working-class apartment blocks in Moscow and the south killed hundreds of Russians. Putin blamed the bombings on Chechen terrorists, but the evidence is compelling that the bombs were a black operation by the KGB-FSB.

An opposition MP who courageously asked questions was poisoned for his trouble. His hair fell out and his skin flaked off in what many suspect was a dry run for the murder in London of Alexander Litvinenko with polonium-210.

Before he died, Putin’s critic set out the president’s Russia in a nutshell: ‘The mafia has put on uniform. The gangsters are boy scouts compared to our security services. It is now precisely the people who are supposed to be fighting crime who are corrupt.’

Putin used the apartment bombings to launch a war in Chechnya which he waged pitilessly. I went to Chechnya undercover, saw evidence of the Russian army bombing a refugee column and first called Putin a war criminal in March 2000.

When the Russian submarine Kursk sank that year with the loss of 118 sailors, Putin’s reaction showed his trademark lack of empathy: ‘It sank.’

He used a siege at a Moscow theatre in which 170 were killed to clamp down on the opposition.

Meanwhile, Putin was becoming extraordinarily rich.

His now ex-wife Lyudmila is said to have businesses and properties across Russia, including a house in Kaliningrad that she rents out and another mansion once owned by the family of writer Tolstoy which rakes in millions of dollars a year in rental income.

Putin’s recent family life is as murky as his finances.

Until recently, little was known about his daughters, Maria Vorontsova and Katerina Tikhonova. He doesn’t officially recognise them and they live under different names. They are thought to be closer to billionaires than millionaires.

The oldest, Maria, married a Dutch businessman. In 2010, they were involved in a road-rage row with Russian banker Matvey Urin. Within half an hour, Urin was arrested. He spent eight years inside, losing all his banks and his money.

Putin divorced Lyudmila in 2014 after 30 years of marriage, and there is said to have been no shortage of mistresses.

The first is thought to have been Svetlana Krivonogikh, who owns five per cent of Bank Rossiya, styled by US intelligence as Putin’s piggybank – a stake worth scores of millions of dollars. Svetlana, a former cleaner, was revealed by the Pandora Papers to own a £3.3 million flat in Monaco and her daughter has strong physical resemblances to Putin.

Then there is Alina Kabaeva, an Olympic champion gymnast who disappeared after becoming pregnant in 2007. It is believed she had a son, followed by a daughter in a hospital in Switzerland in 2015 and twins in 2019 at a Moscow maternity hospital that had been emptied of other patients.

Nobody knows for sure how many children Putin has. The best guess is two daughters by Lyudmila, one daughter with Svetlana and three or four kids by Alina – so six or seven in all. But nobody dares ask.

Getting on the wrong side of Putin can come at a very high price. A year after opposition politician Boris Nemtsov criticised the 2014 annexation of the Crimea, he was gunned down 100 yards from the Kremlin. The list of people who have been poisoned in Russia, Britain and elsewhere is long; so too is the list of critics who have been shot, have been in plane crashes or fallen from windows.

Chris Donnelly is a former Kremlin-watcher for Nato who has spent his entire career trying to understand Russia. Before this year’s invasion of Ukraine, he told me about Putin’s attitude towards the West, which needs to adopt a ‘wartime mentality’ against Moscow.

He said: ‘You need different procedures, different priorities. It’s not just about tanks, ships, planes, bombs and bullets but everything in the arsenal of a state, information, economics, cyber, bribery, corruption, politics… everything.’

Thus, he says, the Kremlin’s political assassinations can best be understood as acts of war. ‘Putin wants his enemies to be afraid of him,’ he adds.

Like many bullies, Putin is afraid of his enemies. Or paranoid, at least. That’s why he didn’t tell his generals of his Ukraine invasion plan until the last minute, and why his intelligence chiefs were so scared of him that they were too afraid to give him accurate intelligence about the Ukrainian state of readiness.

MP Tom Tugendhat, chair of the Foreign Affairs Committee, believes that Putin’s Russia is best understood as a country that has been captured by its intelligence service.

The danger for Putin is that history tells us that Russia does not tolerate failure for long. My sense is that he no longer properly controls the machinery of the Kremlin in the way that he did at the start of 2022. And that the Kremlin machines no longer obey their master as before: like Stalin, the dictator he so much admires, Putin has started arresting his previously trusted lieutenants on trumped-up charges.

For far too long, Western leaders have trembled when Putin and his Kremlin goon show have made nuclear threats and snarled at them. The courage of the Ukrainians has taught us a lesson we were in danger of forgetting: that democracy must be defended, that free speech does not come free.

The last Romanovs made the same sort of mistake as Vladimir Putin has done, hopelessly overestimating the might of the Russian army and the willingness of its soldiers to die.

I predict that Putin has not long left. The rumour is that he is suffering from advanced cancer and that steroid treatment is responsible for some of his recent strange behaviour.

When I challenged him in Siberia about the downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 over Ukraine in 2014, he looked like a weasel. Now he looks like a hamster with cheeks stuffed with straw. That bloated appearance suggests steroid abuse.

Like Stalin, he will be wondering if one of his generals will reach for a revolver. Or one of his doctors sees to it that he never wakes up after surgery. Or that someone may poison him. That would be a very Shakespearean ending.

Killer In The Kremlin, by John Sweeney, is published by Bantam Press on July 21 at £16.99. To order a copy for £15.29, go to mailshop.co.uk/books or call 020 3176 2937 before July 24. Free UK delivery on orders over £20. © John Sweeney, 2022

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