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Videos debunk Russia’s lies about missile strike on Ukraine mall

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By Ramy Inocencio

June 29, 2022 / 9:29 AM / CBS News

Kyiv — Video has emerged that appears to refute Russian propaganda suggesting that a missile strike on a shopping mall in Ukraine never happened. At least 18 people died and about 60 were wounded in the Monday strike, according to Ukrainian officials, but Russia claims it only hit a legitimate military target near the mall.

Video from security cameras in the area clearly caught the moment when Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says a Russian X-22 cruise missile slammed into the shopping center in the central city of Kremenchuk. A shockwave ripples across the area just before people in a park are seen falling to the ground and fleeing for cover. 

Emergency workers were still searching through the wreckage of the shopping center on Wednesday, with about 20 people still listed as missing.

Zelenskyy shared another video that he said showed the X-22 rocket — a long-range cruise missile designed in the former Soviet Union to sink American aircraft carriers — flying at an angle into the mall, sending a huge fireball and debris flying in all directions. The Ukrainian leader pleaded on Tuesday for the United Nations to “act immediately” to “hold Russia accountable” for what he has described as a terrorist attack on his country.

“Absolute terrorism” – says @ZelenskyyUa and publishes a video of a deliberate missile strike on the Kremenchuk shopping center with people inside. Russian propaganda always lies: there is no coincidence, it is a deliberate blow to intimidate the population and mass victims. pic.twitter.com/Gx1f90cMta

— Михайло Подоляк (@Podolyak_M) June 28, 2022

In his post sharing the video, Zelenskyy accused Russia of hitting the mall “purposefully.”

“They wanted to kill as many people as possible in a peaceful city, in a regular shopping mall,” he said.  

The security camera videos appear to debunk Russian propaganda spread online suggesting the attack was faked and that the Russian military only hit a military facility near the shopping center. Various Russian accounts have suggested the site targeted was a depot stocked with Western-supplied weapons or a base for Ukrainian military vehicles.

CBS News visited the facility just north of the mall, however, and found an asphalt factory. We met Mykola Danyleiko, chairman of the board for the Kredmash Road Machinery Plant, which mixes asphalt to pave roads.

“It’s fake,” he told CBS News of the Russian claims. “They said we send products from here by railroad. Do you see a railroad?” 

The cement plant was hit by a missile on Monday, too, but there was no railway there.

Russia's attack on Ukraine continues, in Kremenchuk Smoke rises from a shopping mall hit by a Russian missile strike, as Russia’s attack on Ukraine continues, in Kremenchuk, central Ukraine, June 27, 2022. Telegram/V_Zelenskiy_official/Handout/REUTERS

Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed fire spread from its strike on the plant to the mall, causing the shopping center to burn down. But our team saw no burn path after walking the third of a mile between the two locations.

Russian media also said the mall was “non-operating” at the time of the strike, but recent online videos suggest otherwise.

And fear can’t be faked: As we began interviewing a local woman near the mall a day after the strike, an air raid alert started beeping on her phone, and she bolted.

She was clearly afraid of another Russian missile strike — which Moscow might again insist never happened.

CBS News producer Barny Smith contributed to this report.

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First published on June 29, 2022 / 9:29 AM

© 2022 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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Russia-Ukraine war: Nato calls Moscow ‘the most direct threat to security and stability’ as it welcomes Finland and Sweden – live

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Nato leaders have announced a new “strategic concept” in response to Russia’s war against Ukraine which has “gravely altered our security environment”, describing Moscow as “the most significant and direct threat to allies’ security and stability”.

Nato has invited Sweden and Finland to become members of the military alliance, according to a communique published by the Nato summit in Madrid.

The statement reads:

The accession of Finland and Sweden will make them (the allies) safer, Nato stronger and the Euro-Atlantic area more secure.

The alliance pledged further help to Kyiv and agreed on a package of support aimed at modernising the country’s defence sector. Nato also said it had decided to significantly strengthen its own deterrence and defence.

The statement continues:

Allies have committed to deploy additional robust in-place combat-ready forces on our eastern flank, to be scaled up from the existing battlegroups to brigade-size units, where and when required underpinned by credible available reinforcements, prepositioned equipment, and enhanced command and control.

Ukraine’s defence ministry said 144 Ukrainian soldiers, including troops who were at Mariupol’s besieged Azovstal steel plant, have been freed in a prisoner swap with Russia.

The latest prisoner swap was the largest exchange since Russia invaded Ukraine, the main intelligence directorate of Ukraine’s defence ministry said on Telegram.

Of the 144 Ukrainian soldiers freed, 95 had been involved in defending the Azovstal steelworks, it said. It did not specify when and where the swap took place or how many Russian prisoners were released as part of the exchange.

Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has shared CCTV footage of the moment a shopping mall in Kremenchuk was hit by a Russian missile strike on Monday, saying it was a deliberate attack.

“It is clear that Russian killers received those exact coordinates for this missile [launch]. They wanted to kill as many people as possible in a peaceful city,” Zelenskiy said in a video address.

Zelenskiy releases footage of ‘deliberate’ Russian strike on shopping mall – video

It’s 6pm in Kyiv. Here’s where we stand:

  • Nato leaders have announced a new “strategic concept” in response to Russia’s war against Ukraine, describing Moscow as “the most significant and direct threat to allies’ security and stability”. Nato has invited Sweden and Finland to become members of the military alliance, according to a communique published by the Nato summit in Madrid. Leaders also pledged further help to Kyiv and agreed on a package of support aimed at modernising the country’s defence sector.
  • Zelenskiy also accused the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, of becoming “a terrorist” leading a “terrorist state” and urged Russia’s expulsion from the United Nations. In a virtual address on Tuesday, Zelenskiy called for the UN to visit the site of Monday’s missile strike on a shopping mall in the city of Kremenchuk, which killed at least 18 people.

Hello everyone, it’s Léonie Chao-Fong with you today with all the latest developments from the war in Ukraine. Feel free to drop me a message if you have anything to flag, you can reach me on Twitter or via email.

Ukraine’s foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba praised Nato for its “clear-eyed stance” on Russia and for inviting Finland and Sweden to join the military alliance.

Kuleba tweeted that Nato leaders had taken “difficult, but essential decisions” at the summit in Madrid today, adding:

An equally strong and active position on Ukraine will help to protect the Euro-Atlantic security and stability.

Today in Madrid, NATO proved it can take difficult, but essential decisions. We welcome a clear-eyed stance on Russia, as well as accession for Finland and Sweden. An equally strong and active position on Ukraine will help to protect the Euro-Atlantic security and stability.

— Dmytro Kuleba (@DmytroKuleba) June 29, 2022

Chief of the Ukrainian presidential staff, Andriy Yermak, also welcomed the message Nato had sent to Russia.

Russia will not defeat Ukraine – Russia is going to be defeated.

That’s the message @NATO member states repeatedly emphasize at the summit.

Ukraine and its allies must win this battle for democracy. There’s no other way round.

— Andriy Yermak (@AndriyYermak) June 29, 2022

A man examines pictures over the debris after shelling at a residential area in Mykolaiv, southern Ukraine.

A man examines pictures over the debris after shelling at a residential area in Mykolaiv, southern Ukraine. Photograph: George Ivanchenko/EPA

A man stands by a window inside his damaged apartment after shelling at a residential area in Mykolaiv.

A man stands by a window inside his damaged apartment after shelling at a residential area in Mykolaiv. Photograph: George Ivanchenko/EPA

Syria has said it officially recognised the independence and sovereignty of the Russian controlled territories of Luhansk and Donetsk in eastern Ukraine.

Reuters reports that the Syrian presidency had affirmed its intention to build relations with the two self-proclaimed republics in February, and that today the move was confirmed by state news agency SANA, citing a foreign ministry source.

The self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic and Luhansk People’s Republic were formed in April 2014. Until now, the only UN member state to recognise their legitimacy had been Russia. South Ossetia, itself a breakaway region recognised by most international states as part of Georgia, has also previously offered them recognition.

Point 41 of the new 2022 Nato strategic concept document directly addresses the possibility of Ukraine joining the alliance in the future. The document reads:

The security of countries aspiring to become members of the Alliance is intertwined with our own. We strongly support their independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity. We will strengthen political dialogue and cooperation with those who aim to join the Alliance, help strengthen their resilience against malign interference, build their capabilities, and enhance our practical support to advance their EuroAtlantic aspirations. We will continue to develop our partnerships with Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia and Ukraine to advance our common interest in Euro-Atlantic peace, stability and security. We reaffirm the decision we took at the 2008 Bucharest Summit and all subsequent decisions with respect to Georgia and Ukraine.

Nato has published its new strategic concept in full on its website. The introduction lays out how starkly Nato portrays the threat of Russia, saying:

The Russian Federation’s war of aggression against Ukraine has shattered peace and gravely altered our security environment. Its brutal and unlawful invasion, repeated violations of international humanitarian law and heinous attacks and atrocities have caused unspeakable suffering and destruction. A strong, independent Ukraine is vital for the stability of the Euro-Atlantic area. Moscow’s behaviour reflects a pattern of Russian aggressive actions against its neighbours and the wider transatlantic community.

The introduction concludes:

Our vision is clear: we want to live in a world where sovereignty, territorial integrity, human rights and international law are respected and where each country can choose its own path, free from aggression, coercion or subversion. We work with all who share these goals. We stand together, as Allies, to defend our freedom and contribute to a more peaceful world.

Download: Nato 2022 strategic concept PDF

The Jens Stoltenberg Nato press conference in Madrid has finished, but while that has been happening, also speaking has been Maria Zakharova, press secretary of Russia’s foreign ministry. She has said that Russia does not rule out seizing western assets within its borders.

Reuters quotes her saying Russia was prepared to “act accordingly” if the west decided to use Russia’s frozen state assets – chief among them being around $300bn of central bank foreign currency reserves.

Zakharova, dismissed as a “comedy turn” by the UK defence secretary, Ben Wallace, earlier today, said the use of such funds “will be interpreted by us as an unlawful and defiantly unfriendly attack, giving us the right to take retaliatory actions to protect our interests”.

“We should not forget about the foreign assets of western countries, businesses and citizens who are located on the territory of our country,” she said.

If the west failed to adhere to the principles of democracy, an open economy, private property and judicial independence, then “we will recognise this and act accordingly”, Zakharova added.

A Ukrainian journalist at the Nato press conference asked Jens Stoltenberg what the reaction was like from the leaders in the room when Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy addressed the meeting. Stoltenberg said “the message from the leaders in the meeting room was a very strong special support.”

He went on to say:

Not only a special support, but actually they announced additional systems, weapons, equipment, that our Nato allies are now delivering to Ukraine. It is a message in words and deeds.

I think also it is very clear that allies are prepared for a long war. Wars are unpredictable, but we have to be prepared for the long haul. And that was the clear message to all of us in the room for President Zelenskiy.

And our answer was, yes, we are prepared because they are fighting for their independence, but they’re also fighting for values which are important for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of every nation.

And therefore, this matters for our security.

Our focus now is to support Ukraine. This war will, as most other wars do at some stage, end at the negotiating table.

But it is important that Ukraine is able to get an agreement on their terms, which is acceptable for Ukraine. And therefore we know that there is a very close link between what they can achieve around the negotiating table, and their strength on the battlefield.

And therefore our focus now is to support them on the battlefield with many different types of lethal or non-lethal support. That is the focus.

The journalist had also asked what chance Stoltenberg thought there might be after the war for a quick accession to Nato for Ukraine, in a similar manner to the one offered to Finland and Sweden. The secretary general said “Nato’s door remains open” and cited the alliance’s declaration in Bucharest in 2014 that Ukraine was welcome to apply.

Nato’s secretary general, Jens Stoltenberg, is taking questions from the media at the press conference now. The first question was whether Nato would be placing permanent bases in Sweden and Finland once their membership of the alliance was ratified. He said:

First of all, the decision to invite Finland and Sweden to become members demonstrate that Nato’s door is open. It demonstrates that President Putin did not succeed in closing Nato’s door. Nato’s door remains open.

And it also demonstrates that we respect the sovereign right of every nation to choose its own path. So we of course, respect that Finland and Sweden when they decided to stay out of Nato for many, many years, but then we also welcome them and respect the decision to join Nato.

Stoltenberg then emphasised that the plan would be to pre-position more equipment further forward closers to Nato’s borders. He said:

We know that actually to move, people can go quite fast. But to move heavy equipment, battle tanks, ammunition, fuel, all kinds of supplies, that takes time. So if we have that pre-positioned in place, then you can move in very quickly with the personnel.

He said that “what we will make sure with our presence is that we are able to defend all allies, including of course, Finland, and Sweden”.

Nato’s new strategic concept, Jens Stoltenberg has explained in Madrid, also looks at the environmental impact of the defence alliance. He said: “We cannot choose between having green militaries or strong militaries. They must be both. So we must maintain our operational effectiveness and readiness as we continue to adapt.”

He described the climate crisis as “the defining challenge of our time” and said that “Nato is committed to playing our part in mitigating the impact on our security.”.

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NATO Says Georgia’s Security Intertwined with its Own

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The North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s 2022 Strategic Concept pledged to continue developing its partnership with Georgia and reaffirmed its 2008 Bucharest Summit decision that the country will eventually become a member of the Alliance.

“We will continue to develop our partnerships with Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia and Ukraine to advance our common interest in Euro-Atlantic peace, stability and security,” reads the concept.

The document emphasized that “the security of countries aspiring to become members of the Alliance is intertwined with our own. We strongly support their independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

“We will strengthen political dialogue and cooperation with those who aim to join the Alliance, help strengthen their resilience against malign interference, build their capabilities, and enhance our practical support to advance their Euro-Atlantic aspirations,” it added.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said the concept, adopted at June 29-30 Madrid Summit, is “the blueprint for the Alliance in a more dangerous and competitive world.”

Russia “Most Significant Threat”

In the Strategic Concept, NATO Allies underlined that “the Russian Federation is the most significant and direct threat to Allies’ security and to peace and stability in the Euro-Atlantic area.” They said Moscow “seeks to establish spheres of influence and direct control through coercion, subversion, aggression and annexation. It uses conventional, cyber and hybrid means against us and our partners.”

The Strategic Concept also asserted that “Moscow’s military build-up, including in the Baltic, Black and Mediterranean Sea regions, along with its military integration with Belarus, challenge our security and interests.”

NATO also noted that “the Western Balkans and the Black Sea region are of strategic importance for the
Alliance. We will continue to support the Euro-Atlantic aspirations of interested countries in these regions.” “We will enhance efforts to bolster their capabilities to address the distinct threats and challenges they face and boost their resilience against malign third-party interference and coercion.”

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NATO says Russia is ‘most significant and direct threat’ to members, security

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MADRID (AP) — NATO declared Russia the “most significant and direct threat” to its members’ peace and security, as the military alliance met Wednesday to confront what NATO’s chief called the biggest security crisis since World War II.

It also promised to “step up political and practical support” to Ukraine as it fights off Russia’s invasion.

But Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy chided NATO for not embracing his embattled country more fully and asked for more weapons to defeat Moscow’s forces.

Russia’s invasion of its neighbor shattered Europe’s peace, drove NATO to pour troops and weapons into eastern Europe on a scale not seen since the Cold War, and was set to give the defense organization two new members in Sweden and Finland.

“President (Vladimir) Putin’s war against Ukraine has shattered peace in Europe and has created the greatest security crisis in Europe since the Second World War,” said Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg.

The alliance promised to more support for Ukraine, which has already received billions in military and civilian aid from NATO countries. But Zelenskyy lamented that NATO’s open-door policy to new members did not appear to apply to his country.

“The open-door policy of NATO shouldn’t resemble the old turnstiles on Kyiv’s subway, which stay open but close when you approach them until you pay,” Zelenskyy said by video link to the leaders of the 30 NATO nations meeting in Madrid. “Hasn’t Ukraine paid enough?”

READ MORE: What European Union membership would mean for war-torn Ukraine

He asked for more modern artillery systems and other weapons and warned the leaders that they either had to provide Ukraine with the help it needed to defeat Russia or “face a delayed war between Russia and yourself.”

“The question is who’s next? Moldova? Or the Baltics? Or Poland? The answer is: all of them,” he said. “We are deterring Russia to prevent it from destroying us and from destroying you.”

Zelenskyy has acknowledged that NATO membership is a distant prospect. The alliance is trying to strike a delicate balance, letting its member-nations arm Ukraine without sparking a direct confrontation between NATO and nuclear-armed Russia.

Under NATO treaties, an attack on any member would be considered an attack on all and trigger a military response by the entire alliance.

U.S. President Joe Biden, whose country provides the bulk of NATO’s military power, vowed the Madrid summit would send “an unmistakable message … that NATO is strong and united.”

“We’re stepping up. We’re proving that NATO is more needed now than it ever has been,” said Biden. He announced a hefty boost in America’s military presence in Europe, including a permanent U.S. base in Poland, two more Navy destroyers based in Rota, Spain, and two more F35 squadrons to the U.K.

Still, strains among NATO allies have also emerged as the cost of energy and other essential goods has skyrocketed, partly because of the the war and tough Western sanctions on Russia. There also are tensions over how the war will end and what, if any, concessions Ukraine should make to stop the fighting.

Money could also be a sensitive issue — just nine of NATO’s 30 members currently meet the organization’s target of spending 2% of gross domestic product on defense.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, whose country does hit the target, urged NATO allies “to dig deep to restore deterrence and ensure defense in the decade ahead.”

The war has already triggered a big increase in NATO’s forces in eastern Europe, and allies are expected to agree at the summit to boost the strength of the alliance’s rapid reaction force nearly eightfold, from 40,000 to 300,000 troops, by next year. The troops will be based in their home nations but dedicated to specific countries on NATO’s eastern flank, where the alliance plans to build up stocks of equipment and ammunition.

READ MORE: Russian long-range missiles destroy western Ukraine arms depot

Stoltenberg said it was part of the “the biggest overhaul of our collective defense since the end of the Cold War.”

The leaders are also set to publish NATO’s new Strategic Concept, its once-a-decade set of priorities and goals.

The last such document, in 2010, called Russia a “strategic partner.” Now, the alliance is set to declare Moscow its No. 1 threat. The document will also set out NATO’s approach on issues from cybersecurity to climate change — and the growing economic and military reach of China.

For the first time, the leaders of Japan, Australia, South Korea and New Zealand are attending the summit as guests, a reflection of the growing importance of Asia and the Pacific region.

Stoltenberg said China was not NATO’s adversary, but posed “challenges to our values, to our interest and to our security.”

Biden was due to hold a rare meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol on the sidelines of the summit, focused on North Korea’s nuclear program.

The summit opened with one problem solved, after Turkey agreed Tuesday to lift its opposition to Sweden and Finland joining NATO. In response to the invasion, the two Nordic nations abandoned their long-held nonaligned status and applied to join NATO as protection against an increasingly aggressive and unpredictable Russia — which shares a long border with Finland.

NATO operates by consensus, and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan threatened to block the Nordic pair, insisting they change their stance on Kurdish rebel groups that Turkey considers terrorists.

After urgent top-level talks with leaders of the three countries, Stoltenberg said the impasse had been cleared.

Turkey hailed Tuesday’s agreement as a triumph, saying the Nordic nations had agreed to crack down on groups that Ankara deems national security threats, including the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, which is also considered a terrorist group by the U.S. and the EU, and its Syrian extension. It said they also agreed “not to impose embargo restrictions in the field of defense industry” on Turkey and to take “concrete steps on the extradition of terrorist criminals.”

Stoltenberg said leaders of the 30-nation alliance will issue a formal invitation Wednesday to the two countries. The decision has to be ratified by all individual nations, but he said he was “absolutely confident” Finland and Sweden would become members.

Stoltenberg said he expected the process to be finished “rather quickly,” but did not set a time on it.

Associated Press writer Zeke Miller in Madrid contributed.

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Russia’s Kremenchuk Claims Versus the Evidence

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Dramatic images of the facility ablaze soon followed, as did reports of high casualty numbers.

President Volodomyr Zelenskiy of Ukraine stated that there were 1,000 people inside the mall at the time of the attack.

At time of writing, 18 people are reported to have been confirmed dead with more missing.

Reuters reported that Ukraine’s air force command said that the shopping mall was hit by Russian X-22 missiles fired from Tu-22M3 bombers that flew from Shaykovka airfield in Russia’s Kaluga region.

Russian politicians and their supporters promptly justified the attack, at times offering seemingly contradictory explanations.

Late on June 27, Russia’s Deputy Permanent Representative to the UN, Dmitry Polansky, said that the incident was a “provocation” by Ukraine.

He added: “We’ll have to wait and see what our Ministry of Defence says, but there are too many obvious inconsistencies. This is exactly what the Kyiv regime needs to keep the focus on Ukraine in the run up to the [June 28] NATO summit,” in Madrid.

The next day Igor Konashenkov, spokesman of Russia’s Ministry of Defence, said at a press briefing that the country’s air force had carried out a “high precision air attack at hangars where armament and munitions were stored” delivered by the US and European countries at the Kremenchuk road machinery plant, which is a few hundred metres north of the Amstor shopping mall.

The shopping mall, he added, was non-functioning and that it had caught fire as a result of the strikes on targets nearby.

Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov also blamed western media for misrepresenting the situation. “The Ministry of Defence has clearly explained it”, he remarked.

However, Vitaly Kiselyev, assistant to the head of the “LNR”, alleged that mall itself was used as an armoury for local territorial defence forces. Similar claims can now be found across social media. Prominent is a pro-Kremlin ‘fact-checkshared by a Russian embassy account.

Yet as with other claims made by Russia, such as in Bucha and Kramotorsk earlier in the war, these do not appear to be supported by the available open source evidence and videos from the scene.

Map of Ukraine showing the location of Kremenchuk, in the country’s Poltava Region.

What was hit in Kremenchuk?

As the MOD and foreign minister Lavrov’s statements show, Russia does not dispute that the mall was impacted and it admits to carrying out a strike in Kremenchuk.

Footage on social media clearly shows the shopping centre ablaze.

Horror scenes in Kremenchuk, as a Russian missile hits a shopping centre. The man speaking on phone : “people were are the building, the walls are starting to fall in” pic.twitter.com/REDBFmuT3R

— Oliver Carroll (@olliecarroll) June 27, 2022

Later imagery shows it completely burned out with the roof entirely caved in.

Голова ДСНС Сергій Крук : продовжуємо працювати на місці ракетного обстрілу торговельного центру у Кременчуці.

Відомо про 16 загиблих та 59 постраждалих, з яких 25 – госпіталізовані. Інформація оновлюється.

➡️https://t.co/uM7mum9g3w pic.twitter.com/xiQZO4SxvO

— DSNS.GOV.UA (@SESU_UA) June 27, 2022

Yet the Russian MOD’s comments state that the mall was only impacted as a result of the detonation of ammunition which it claimed was stored nearby at the Kremenchuk road machinery plant. 

It also claimed a nearby train yard was hit.

⚡💬@mod_russia: On June 27, Russian Aerospace Forces launched a high-precision air attack at hangars with armament and munitions delivered by USA and European countries at #Kremenchug road machinery plant. 1/3 pic.twitter.com/RtDAITZ9DN

— Russian Embassy, UK (@RussianEmbassy) June 28, 2022

Satellite imagery, as well as open source footage videos posted online, appear to contradict those statements. 

A selection of CCTV video from the Mis’ky park, which is north of the factory and mall, shows two moments of impact.

Terrifying footage shows the mayhem outside of the shopping mall in Kremenchuk that was struck yesterday by Russian missiles leaving 18 dead.

pic.twitter.com/9QFk8GKHis

— Moshe Schwartz (@YWNReporter) June 28, 2022

A freeze-frame from one camera looking south towards the factory shows a plume of smoke (red arrow) in the direction of the Amstor mall.

A graphic shows the direction the location of explosions in Kremenchuk. Map source: Google maps. Image source

A few seconds later, a second strike appears to land much closer to the camera with flames clearly visible and reflected on the water.

A screen grab from a video posted to Twitter shows an explosion in Kremenchuk.

Satellite imagery confirms the areas that were hit by these missiles.

The below image comparison from the Sentinel-2 L1C satellites shows a comparison of the area around the factory and the mall before (the most recent clear imagery was from May 4) and after the strike.

Images captured by the Sentinel-2 L1C satellites show Kramenchuk before and after the June 27 strikes.

The roof of the shopping mall is flattened in the later image while there also seems to have been an impact at the edge of the industrial facility.

There appears to be little noticeable damage to the area in between the two strikes.

This is confirmed by Planet satellite imagery.

A high resolution satellite image from Kerenchuk shows two damaged sites. Image (c) Planet Skysat.

Several buildings between the mall and the site of the second impact appear undamaged. The distance between these two points is approximately 0.5 kilometres.

A Google Earth map details the distance between the sites of the two missile strikes in Kremenchuk.

A video shared by an advisor to the Ukrainian presidency late on June 28 appears to show the missile approaching the location of the mall and exploding on impact.

«Абсолютний тероризм», – каже @ZelenskyyUa та публікує відео навмисного удару ракетою по ТЦ в Кременчуку, коли там було багато людей. Російська пропаганда завжди бреше: немає жодної випадковості, це цілеспрямований продуманий удар задля залякування населення та масових жертв. pic.twitter.com/QGKWYwbSZt

— Михайло Подоляк (@Podolyak_M) June 28, 2022

The CCTV camera in the above image can be geolocated here.

Geolocation of CCTV camera which recorded strike on the shopping mall

This, aligned with the fact that the mall appears to have taken a direct hit given there is no clear or significant impact site anywhere in the area around it, would seemingly undermine Russian MOD claims that a fire spread from the factory area.

Moreover, the fact that multiple explosions could not be observed after the initial impact likely suggests that, in contrast to ‘LNR’ politician Vasilyev’s claim, munitions were not kept at the Amstor building.

A freeze frame of the video even appears to provide a view of the type of missile used.

Exactly what was hit within the plant by the second missile is also not entirely clear from open source evidence alone.

A series of smaller buildings visible in YouTube videos appear to populate the area that is detailed as being damaged in satellite imagery.

YouTube / Satellite imagery comparison of industrial area

The building highlighted in the red square above also appears to have been damaged, as the GIF below shows.

A GIF showing the damage caused by a missile strike in Kremenchuk.

Although one report in 2014 stated that the factory had been used to repair three military vehicles, this in itself does not prove that it was a storage site for US and European weapons and ammunition eight years later, as Russia has claimed. Vehicles being repaired at the facility would appear to tally up with it being a road machinery plant. Corporate videos taken in recent years show equipment in the plant such as furnaces, cranes and other machinery. It is not possible to verify Russian claims of the plant being an ammo dump from open sources alone.

The area of the factory that was hit is detailed as being the “workshop of the plant and greenhouse” in one regional media report. This is corroborated by one video posted to Facebook by a local, which showed a huge crater at the site of the strike.

Official Russian accounts also shared claims that a train yard nearby had also been hit.

However, Planet Skysat imagery from June 28, taken at 08:51 UTC, shows no sign of any damage to nearby the Kremenchuk train yard located to the east of the Amstor mall.

Location of Russian strikes in Kremenchuk on Planet Skysat imagery

Some debris from the strike that hit the mall would likely have impacted a rail line that ran past back of the mall itself.

However, this was not close to where a diagram shared by Russian state accounts, produced by the pro-Kremlin ‘War on Fakes’ project, indicated that it had hit the train yard.

⚡💬@mod_russia: On June 27, Russian Aerospace Forces launched a high-precision air attack at hangars with armament and munitions delivered by USA and European countries at #Kremenchug road machinery plant. 1/3 pic.twitter.com/RtDAITZ9DN

— Russian Embassy, UK (@RussianEmbassy) June 28, 2022

Was the Mall in Use?

Russia also claimed in its reaction to the strike that the mall was not in use.

This claim was echoed by the likes of pro-Kremlin news site LifeNews. It stated that a lack of recent reviews on Google for any other websites over recent months, and a lack of images from inside the mall, showed that it was closed at the time of the strikes.

Yet these claims omit key details to the contrary.

A blog post from the Comfy retail chain from June 25 listed its outlet at Halamenyuk Street 7 in Kremenchuk in a list of shops which had reopened – this is the address of the Amstor shopping mall.

A local Telegram channel shared a screenshot of messages on June 23 from what appears to be a closed Telegram chat group for Amstor employees stating that the shops would continue to work from 8AM to 9PM as usual, despite air-raid sirens.

Some people posted receipts of transactions undertaken at the mall in recent days to show it was indeed open.

Чек из магазина игрушек… за пару часов до 😡 pic.twitter.com/ZH5fUIFDcC

— Serg (@SergZ50534513) June 28, 2022

Then there were posts by stores which stated they had been in operation when the strike happened. Some offered their best wishes to staff who had been impacted.

A post on the Toy House Facebook page on June 28 offered condolences to staff that worked on site and were injured.

Silpo, a Ukrainian grocery store chain, stated that six of its employees were in hospital.

Screenshot from Instagram / SilpoUA

Comfy, the aforementioned retail chain, also stated that one of its employees had died in the attack.

Screenshot from Instagram / ComfyUA

Another business based at the mall, Zerna, posted an Instagram story about the fate of a 19-year-old barista who had been badly burnt in the blaze. The coffee shop’s account shared her mother’s plea for help, in order to cover medical costs.

Screenshot from Instagram / Zerna.Kava

The BBC Reality Check team detailed how local Telegram groups had been highlighting that multiple people at the mall were missing in the hours after the attack.

It also pointed to a YouTube video by a Ukrainian family that had purportedly been recorded the day before the attack and showed the mall open. It was posted on June 27.

The pro-Kremlin news website Regnum, as well as the aforementioned ‘fact check’ shared by the Russian Embassy also sought to prove that the mall was closed at the time of the attack – and Zelensky’s claim of 1,000 civilians present – due to the small number of vehicles at the car park.

However, satellite imagery of the mall going back to 2016 shows that, there were many occasions during daylight hours when its car park was sparsely occupied.

Timelapse images from Google Earth / Maxar Images. Imagery was captured between 11-12AM local time (9AM UTC)

These claims also do not account for the possibility of visitors arriving by public transport. Mapping services show bus, trolleybus and minibus stops in walking distance.

Pro-Kremlin media outlet EurasiaDaily, like the aforementioned ‘fact check’, claimed that only men of military age could be seen at the scene of the explosion. This is also inconsistent with the available open source evidence, in which several women were present after the attack.

A woman seen outside the shopping mall in Kremenchuk, likely a survivor of the attack. Screengrab from 00:40 in a video taken by a man who escaped the building, shared by Trukha / Twitter.

Furthermore, the presence of some men in military fatigues is not out of keeping with the aftermath of other attacks across Ukraine on civilian infrastructure behind frontlines, in which members of the territorial defence forces have been seen alongside firefighters, medics and policemen.

The aforementioned Regnum article also stated that “there is information that equipment repaired at the nearby Kremenchuk road machinery plant was kept on the territory of the shopping mall”.

Alongside the ‘LNR’ politician Vasilyev’s assertions, the Regnum and EurasiaDaily reports further illustrate a key trend in pro-Russian claims about the strike on Amstor — that the shopping mall was itself a military facility.

None of these sources provided any evidence for this claim, nor has any open source information surfaced which might lend credence to it.

Deflections and Denials

The Russian account of these events presented so far does not tally with the available open source evidence; neither have the Russian authorities provided any verifiable information which could substantiate their claims.

In contrast to claims by the MoD, the open source evidence indicates that the Amstor shopping mall was not destroyed by an explosion erupting from the nearby industrial area. Instead, video footage appeared to show a missile landed directly on the building – a central shopping mall serving a city of 219,000.

At the time of publication, dozens are reported to remain missing.

An earlier version of this story stated that the distance between the mall and the site of the second strike was one kilometre when it is in fact roughly 0.5 kilometres. The story has been updated to reflect this.

Carlos Gonzales, Jake Godin, Annique Mossou, Klement Anders, Maxim Edwards, Eoghan Macguire, Eliot Higgins and Timmi Allen contributed to this report.

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Lithuania Faces ‘Intense’ Cyber Attack Amid Kaliningrad Standoff

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Lithuania’s defense chief said the Baltic nation has come under an unprecedented cyber attack this week after the government announced it would start blocking the transit of sanctioned goods to the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad.

“This cyber war has been ongoing non-stop for many years,” Defense Minister Arvydas Anusauskas told LRT radio on Tuesday. “But this scale and intensity, which is perhaps not yet the highest but medium, is taking place for the first time.” 

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To Counter Putin, Biden Tries to Assemble an Upside-Down Cartel

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President Biden led his Group of 7 counterparts to agree on a plan that would cap the price of Russian oil, a daunting goal that risks the Kremlin restricting supply even further.

During this week’s meeting of the Group of 7 nations in Germany, President Biden agreed with fellow leaders to seek temporary caps on the price of Russian oil.

During this week’s meeting of the Group of 7 nations in Germany, President Biden agreed with fellow leaders to seek temporary caps on the price of Russian oil.Credit…Kenny Holston for The New York Times

Jim Tankersley

MUNICH — President Biden is leading an effort to manipulate the oil market at a scale the world has rarely seen, embracing cartel-like tactics in an aggressive but risky attempt to undermine Russia’s war effort in Ukraine.

At the Group of 7 nations meeting this week in the Bavarian Alps, Mr. Biden has attempted to assemble an upside-down version of OPEC, the world’s most powerful oil cartel, with the goal of soothing consumers burned at the gasoline pump and, if the allies get their way, helping to speed the end of the war.

Instead of limiting supply to maximize revenues for countries selling oil, as a cartel does, Mr. Biden is trying to minimize how much one particular seller — Moscow — reaps from each barrel. He led his Group of 7 counterparts to agree on Tuesday to a plan that would cap the price of Russian oil, as a way of driving down the revenue President Vladimir V. Putin is deriving from his most important export.

“Some people are calling it an inverse OPEC,” said Simon Johnson, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist who has been involved in discussions about how such a cap might work. “This is a cartel that is attempting to discriminate between Russian oil and other oil, creating a wedge, which may or may not drive down global prices.”

The plan is an economist’s invention — specifically Janet L. Yellen, the Treasury secretary and former chair of the Federal Reserve — and nowhere near fully baked. It is theoretically quite powerful, so much so that Prime Minister Mario Draghi of Italy is pushing hard for Europe to adopt a similar price cap on imports of Russian natural gas.

Some energy experts doubt the price cap would work, if negotiators can even agree on how to structure and implement it. Potential problems abound: Big buyers of Russian oil, like China and India, might refuse to play along. Mr. Putin could decide it would be more lucrative to cap some Russian wells, pulling a million barrels a day or more off the world market, creating a shortage that would cause prices to spike even further.

Janet L. Yellen, the Treasury secretary and former chair of the Federal Reserve, is the chief architect of a plan to manipulate the oil market.Credit…Amanda Andrade-Rhoades for The New York Times

But Biden administration officials insist the plan is their best chance to deprive Mr. Putin of cash for his war effort and possibly relieve some pain for American drivers.

“Limiting the cost of Russian oil will put downward pressure on global energy prices,” Ms. Yellen said in a news release, “in a way that dampens the impact of Putin’s war on the U.S. economy.”

To understand why the West has settled on this complicated, untested idea for its latest attempt to combat both Russian aggression and the rising inflation that has swamped global consumers, it is helpful to revisit some basic economics.

After Russia invaded Ukraine, the United States and its allies moved to ban imports of Russian oil in retaliation, hoping to cut off the key source of revenue for its war machine. But global prices soared in response, outweighing the loss in the volume of Russian sales, and Moscow’s oil revenues continued to flow in.

That price spike is the sort of thing that can happen when oil producers collectively decide to pull supply off the market. Those producers are using their large power over the market to effectively pick the price that is best for them. That price is higher than an efficient market would set. Consumers suffer the consequences.

What the Group of 7 is trying to do is a similar show of market-power force, but in the opposite direction. The price cap idea that the finance ministers now have to develop would seek to keep Russian oil on the market, in order to avoid further strains on global supply and spiking prices. One analyst firm, Barclays, projects prices could reach $200 a barrel by next year if most of Moscow’s exports were knocked offline.

A Yang Mei Hu oil products tanker moored at a crude oil terminal in Nakhodka, Russia, this month.Credit…Tatiana Meel/Reuters

The crux of the price cap is that the West, which controls much of the means and financing that Russia currently needs to ship its oil, would assemble a coalition of oil buyers and private companies in fields like insurance and shipping that would essentially give Moscow an ultimatum: sell your oil at a steep discount, or don’t sell it at all.

In a best-case scenario, that ultimatum would be issued swiftly, backed by a broad coalition of countries and private companies. The price of oil might fall quickly, if traders expect Russian oil to keep flowing to the market, more cheaply, for the near future.

In their final statement from the summit, the Group of 7 leaders said that they would consider “a range of approaches,” including “a possible comprehensive prohibition of all services, which enable transportation of Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products globally, unless the oil is purchased at or below a price to be agreed in consultation with international partners.”

The leaders, President Emmanuel Macron of France said after the meeting, want to “better manage oil and gas prices” by “freeing up more volume but also by having a concerted discussion between major buyer countries.”

The sheer quirkiness of the plan — its inverse logic and the opening it leaves Mr. Putin to simply shut down exports to the West — underscores the frustration the United States and its allies feel that the measures taken so far have not blunted Russian war efforts.

There are a lot of reasons this effort might fail, too. Officials cannot yet say how many buyer countries would need to sign on — or at least, not actively seek to undermine the plan by making side deals with Russia — to guarantee effectiveness. They also cannot say how quickly the details could come together, and how negotiators like Ms. Yellen might bring entire industries, like oil tankers and shipping insurance, on board.

President Volodymyr Zelensky addressed the G7 summit on Monday via video conference from Kyiv.Credit…Kenny Holston for The New York Times

Political pressures could complicate the details. Asked about the price cap after the summit, Chancellor Olaf Scholz of Germany called it “very ambitious and demanding,” reflecting the likely difficulty of reaching an agreement on the idea among the 27 member countries of the European Union.

Some analysts say the sheer complexity that slowed the Group of 7 leaders’ embrace of the plan could blunt the market reaction the leaders are hoping to engineer.

“The price cap policy would not put Russia under the immediate fiscal stress many expect,” Mark Mozur, a market analyst for S&P Global Commodity Insights, wrote on Tuesday. “Nor can markets be expected to interpret a potential cap the way the Biden administration might want them to.”

Perhaps the most elemental danger is that the leaders will set the wrong cap for the price — one that fails to minimize Mr. Putin’s profits and potentially pushes a lot of oil off the market. The political backlash in that case could be immense. In the energy world, it is a familiar fear: Cartels don’t always calculate correctly — and they are not always as powerful as they imagine.

Reporting was contributed by Melissa Eddy from Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany, Aurelien Breeden from Paris, and Alan Rappeport from Washington.

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Biden urges Western unity on Ukraine amid war fatigue

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ELMAU, Germany (AP) — President Joe Biden and Western allies opened a three-day summit in the Bavarian Alps on Sunday intent on keeping economic fallout from the war in Ukraine from fracturing the global coalition working to punish Russia’s aggression. Britain’s Boris Johnson warned the leaders not to give in to “fatigue” even as Russia lobbed new missiles at Kyiv.

The Group of Seven leaders were set to announce new bans on imports of Russian gold, the latest in a series of sanctions the club of democracies hopes will further isolate Russia economically. They also were looking at possible price caps on energy meant to limit Russian oil and gas profits that Moscow can pump into its war effort.

And following up on a proposal from last year’s G-7 summit, Biden formally launched a global infrastructure partnership designed to counter China’s influence in the developing world. The initiative aims to leverage $600 billion with fellow G-7 countries by 2027 for global infrastructure projects. Some $200 billion would come from the United States, Biden said.

U.S. officials have long argued that China’s infrastructure initiative traps receiving countries in debt and that the investments benefit China more than their hosts.

In a pre-summit show of force, Russia launched its first missile strikes against the Ukrainian capital in three weeks, striking at least two residential buildings, according to Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko.

Biden condemned Russia’s actions as “more of their barbarism,” and stressed that allies need to remain firm even as the economic reverberations from the war take a toll around the globe in inflation, food shortages and more.

“We have to stay together, because Putin has been counting on, from the beginning, that somehow NATO and the G-7 would splinter, but we haven’t and we’re not going to,” Biden said during a meeting with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who holds the G-7′s rotating presidency and is hosting the gathering.

CNN’s Ben Wedeman joins a perilous journey to deliver supplies to Ukrainian frontlines, returning to safe ground with orphaned puppies of war. (CNN)

As the G-7 leaders sat down for their opening session, they took a light-hearted jab at Putin. Johnson could be heard asking whether he should keep his jacket on, adding, “We all have to show that we’re tougher than Putin.” Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau chimed in: “A bare-chested horseback ride.”

Over the years, the Kremlin has released several photos of the Russian leader in which he appears shirtless.

Biden and his counterparts were using the gathering to discuss how to secure energy supplies and tackle inflation triggered by the war’s fallout.

The leaders also came together on the new global infrastructure partnership meant to provide an alternative to Russian and Chinese investment in the developing world. One by one, the leaders stepped up to the microphone to discuss the partnership and their roles in it — without mentioning China by name.

Ukraine cast a shadow over the gathering, but the leaders were determined to project resolve.

Scholz told Biden that the allies all managed “to stay united, which obviously Putin never expected.”

Biden said of Putin’s war: “We can’t let this aggression take the form it has and get away with it.”

Scholz, who has faced criticism at home and abroad for perceived reluctance to send Ukraine heavy weapons, said, “Germany and the U.S. will always act together when it comes to questions of Ukraine’s security.”

Johnson, for his part, urged fellow leaders not to give in to “fatigue.” He has expressed concern that divisions may emerge in the pro-Ukraine alliance as the four-month-old war grinds on.

Asked whether he thought France and Germany were doing enough, Johnson praised the “huge strides” made by Germany to arm Ukraine and cut imports of Russian gas. He did not mention France.

Biden and Scholz, in their pre-summit meeting, agreed on the need for a negotiated end to the Ukraine war, but did not get into specifics on how to achieve it, said a senior Biden administration official, who requested anonymity to reveal details of a private conversation.

However, they did not have an extensive discussion about oil price caps or inflation, the official said.

Other leaders echoed Biden’s praise of coalition unity.

The head of the European Union’s council of governments said the 27-member bloc maintains “unwavering unity” in backing Ukraine against Russia’s invasion with money and political support, but that “Ukraine needs more and we are committed to providing more.”

Shelling is getting more frequent and more intense in Kharkiv. (Source: CNN/AFPTV/Special Unit Odin)

European Council President Charles Michel said EU governments were ready to supply “more military support, more financial means, and more political support” to enable Ukraine to defend itself and “curb Russia’s ability to wage war.”

The EU has imposed six rounds of sanctions against Russia, the latest one being a ban on 90% of Russian crude oil imports by the end of the year. The measure is aimed at a pillar of the Kremlin’s finances, its oil and gas revenues.

Biden and the leaders of Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan, plus the EU, spent Sunday in both formal and informal settings discussing the war’s effects on the global economy, including inflation.

Biden said G-7 nations, including the United States, will ban imports of gold from Russia. A formal announcement was expected Tuesday as the leaders wind up their annual summit.

Johnson said the ban will “directly hit Russian oligarchs and strike at the heart of Putin’s war machine.”

“Putin is squandering his dwindling resources on this pointless and barbaric war. He is bankrolling his ego at the expense of both the Ukrainian and Russian people,” Johnson said. “We need to starve the Putin regime of its funding.”

Gold, in recent years, has been the top Russian export after energy — reaching almost $19 billion or about 5% of global gold exports, in 2020, according to the White House.

Of Russian gold exports, 90% was consigned to G-7 countries. More than 90% of those exports, or nearly $17 billion, was exported to the U.K. The United States imported less than $200 million in gold from Russia in 2019, and under $1 million in 2020 and 2021.

As for the idea of price caps on energy, Michel said, “we want to go into the details, we want to fine-tune … to make sure we have a clear common understanding of what are the direct effects and what could be the collateral consequences” if such a step were to be taken by the group.

___

Superville reported from Telfs, Austria and Moulson from Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany. Associated Press writer Jill Lawless in London contributed to this report.

Copyright 2022 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.

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NATO chief says alliance faces ‘most serious security crisis’ since WWII

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MADRID (AP) — NATO leaders were sitting down Wednesday to try to turn an urgent sense of purpose triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine into action — and to patch up any cracks in their unity over money and mission.

Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said the alliance was meeting in Madrid “in the midst of the most serious security crisis we have faced since the Second World War.”

Russia’s invasion of its neighbor has shattered Europe’s peace and driven NATO to pour troops and weapons into Eastern Europe on a scale not seen since the Cold War.

Members of the alliance have also sent billions in military and civilian aid to Ukraine. The 30 NATO leaders will hear directly from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who is likely to ask them to do even more when he addresses the gathering by video link.

US President Joe Biden, whose country provides the bulk of NATO’s military power, said Tuesday in Madrid that the alliance was “as united and galvanized as I think we have ever been.”

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But NATO allies are showing signs of strain as the cost of energy and other essential goods has skyrocketed amid the war and tough Western sanctions on Russia. There also are tensions over how the war will end and what, if any, concessions Ukraine should make to stop the fighting.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg arrives for a NATO summit in Madrid, Spain on June 29, 2022 (AP Photo/Paul White)

Money could also be a sensitive issue — just nine of NATO’s 30 members currently meet the organization’s target of spending 2% of gross domestic product on defense.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, whose country does hit the target, urged NATO allies “to dig deep to restore deterrence and ensure defense in the decade ahead.”

The war has already triggered a big increase in NATO’s forces in Eastern Europe, and allies are expected to agree at the summit to increase the strength of the alliance’s rapid reaction force nearly eightfold, from 40,000 to 300,000 troops by next year. The troops will be based in their home nations, but dedicated to specific countries on NATO’s eastern flank, where the alliance plans to build up stocks of equipment and ammunition.

Biden set out plans to beef up the American military presence in Europe, with more US troops in the east and two more Navy destroyers based in Rota, Spain.

Ukrainian State Emergency Service firefighters work to take away debris at a shopping center burned after a rocket attack in Kremenchuk, Ukraine, June 28, 2022. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

Stoltenberg said NATO was undertaking “the biggest overhaul of our collective defense since the end of the Cold War.”

The leaders are also set to publish NATO’s new Strategic Concept, its once-a-decade set of priorities and goals.

The last such document, in 2010, called Russia a “strategic partner” for NATO. Now Russia is set to be declared the alliance’s number one threat. The the document will also set out NATO’s approach on issues from cybersecurity to climate change — and the growing economic and military reach of China.

For the first time, the leaders of Japan, Australia, South Korea and New Zealand are attending the summit as guests, a reflection of the growing importance of the Indo-Pacific region.

A hospital nurse pushes a wheelchair carrying a woman wounded by the Russian rocket attack at a shopping center in a city hospital in Kremenchuk in Poltava region, Ukraine, June 28, 2022.(AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

Stoltenberg said China was not NATO’s adversary, but posed “challenges to our values, to our interest and to our security.”

Biden was due to hold a rare joint meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol on the sidelines of the summit, focused on North Korea’s nuclear program.

The summit opened with one problem solved, after Turkey agreed Tuesday to lift its opposition to Sweden and Finland joining NATO. In response to the invasion, the two Nordic nations abandoned their long-held nonaligned status and applied to join NATO as protection against an increasingly aggressive and unpredictable Russia — which shares a long border with Finland.

NATO operates by consensus, and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had threatened to block the Nordic pair, insisting they change their stance on Kurdish rebel groups that Turkey considers terrorists.

From left to right background: Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Finland’s President Sauli Niinisto, Sweden’s Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson, and Sweden’s Foreign Minister Ann Linde pose for a picture after signing a memorandum in which Turkey agrees to Finland and Sweden’s membership of the defense alliance in Madrid, Spain on June 28, 2022. (AP/Bernat Armangue)

After urgent top-level talks with leaders of the three countries, alliance Secretary Stoltenberg said the impasse had been cleared.

Turkey hailed Tuesday’s agreement as a triumph, saying the Nordic nations had agreed to crack down on groups that Ankara deems national security threats, including the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, and its Syrian extension. It said they also agreed “not to impose embargo restrictions in the field of defense industry” on Turkey and to take “concrete steps on the extradition of terrorist criminals.”

Stoltenberg said leaders of the 30-nation alliance will issue a formal invitation Wednesday to the two countries to join. The decision has to be ratified by all individual nations, but he said he was “absolutely confident” Finland and Sweden would become members.

Stoltenberg said he expected the process to be finished “rather quickly,” but did not set a time on it.

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‘End terrorism funding!’ Erdogan takes vicious aim at Putin as former-ally attacks

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Sweden and Finland have long favoured neutrality over joining the Western military alliance, so much so that they are said to have become “bywords” for neutrality. The Russian invasion of Ukraine was quick to shift this position, with both countries applying for membership last month, a move that first looked as though it could have been blocked by Turkey.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was the one leader in NATO to express opposition to the move, insisting “we will not say ‘yes’ to those [countries] who apply sanctions to Turkey” and that the elimination of sources of “terrorism financing” and of arms support for the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (the PKK) was a definite must.

The three countries have now reached an agreement meaning NATO membership for the two Nordic countries is now more a matter of when, not if.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg yesterday said: “I am pleased to announce that we now have an agreement that paves the way for Finland and Sweden to join NATO.

“Turkey, Finland and Sweden have signed a memorandum that addresses Turkey’s concerns, including around arms exports and the fight against terrorism.”

putin‘End terrorism funding!’ Erdogan takes vicious aim at Putin as former-ally attacks. (Image: Getty)

Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip ErdoganVladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan. (Image: Getty)

Some reports suggest the Nordic states have conceded to the majority of Turkey’s demands in order to to be welcomed to the military alliance, even to the detriment of the Kurds.

Finland and Sweden’s entry is expected to come as a blow to Putin, all the more so because it was signed off by Erdogan.

Turkey holds strong relations with Russia and the two countries rank among each other’s largest trade partners.

Many Turkish companies began to operate in Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

READ MORE: Ukraine outgunned ’40 to 1′ with up to 100 soldiers being killed a day

Jens StoltenbergJens Stoltenberg. (Image: Getty)

Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin. (Image: Getty)

After Russia launched its “special military operation”, Erdogan described the invasion as “unacceptable”.

He noted, however, that his country would not turn its back on either Russia or Ukraine.

The continued expansion of NATO has been a point of much contention in recent weeks.

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Russia vs Ukraine: the statsRussia vs Ukraine: the stats. (Image: Express)

Since the launch of the invasion, Pope Francis said that NATO “barking” at Russia’s door “perhaps facilitated” its actions.

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov has warned the expansion of the alliance into Finland and Sweden would have “far-reaching consequences”.

Putin also urged against the “expansion of military infrastructure” within its expanded borders.

Vladimir Putin and Jens StoltenbergVladimir Putin and Jens Stoltenberg. (Image: Getty)

Sweden shares a maritime border with Russia, while Finland’s land border with the country extends over 800 miles.

The military alliance also this week readied itself to boost its high-readiness forces from around 40,000 to more than 300,000 troops.

Stoltenberg laid down his aim of “transforming” the NATO Response Force, with the new model set to include “more pre-positioned equipment and stockpiles of military supplies”, as well as “more forward-deployed capabilities, like air defence” and “strengthened command and control”.

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